Comment by hnburnsy

Comment by hnburnsy a day ago

32 replies

Related, TIL the US is effectively banning residential electric resistance water heaters in 2029, with heat pump water heaters being the only type that can meet the new standards. Users will see a 2-3x in cost difference and a 3 to 8 year payback on savings.

amazingman 20 hours ago

This is exactly the kind of thing government is for, even though it's missing the other half: subsidies. At the very least buying heat pumps for the next 5 years should be tax deductible. Even better: a $2000 or similar rebate.

  • lm28469 14 hours ago

    > even though it's missing the other half: subsidies

    It's a double edged sword. In my country everyone bought pellet stoves because of the subsidies, hundreds of companies popped up, now that the subsidies have been phased out, 90% of the companies went down, with their support and warranties of course. The 10% that managed to survive increased their prices, which is easy to do once 90% of your competitors went bust

    People who thought they'd save money by having the government (their taxes really) pay the bill are waking up 5 years later with expensive maintenance, the first units are starting to fail and need to be replaced but they can't afford it without the 50%+ subsidies. Not to mention that the prices pellets goes up and down faster than your average shitcoin.

  • seiferteric 3 hours ago

    The problem is, energy use is only one part of the equation. Often times new appliances that are more efficient end up being more prone to breaking due to more complexity and companies trying to cut costs to meet a price point. This leads to people needing to replace there appliances much more often which really makes me question how much energy is actually saved if you include the energy used to produce them...

  • rayiner 12 hours ago

    The subsidies and rebates are a scam. The installers just jack up the prices until they capture the entire value of the rebate.

    • amazingman 8 hours ago

      This assumes the consumer doesn't know and can't look up the price of the hardware.

      • rayiner 8 hours ago

        The cost of installation vastly exceeds the cost of the hardware. And the installers will only warranty hardware you buy from them.

  • DangitBobby 20 hours ago

    That's probably exactly what will happen.

        Energy property - Heat pumps and biomass stoves and boilers
    
        Heat pumps that meet or exceed the CEE highest efficiency tier, not including any advanced tier, in effect at the beginning of the year when the property is installed, and biomass stoves and boilers with a thermal efficiency rating of at least 75% qualify for a credit up to $2,000 per year. Costs may include labor for installation.
    
        Qualified property includes new:
    
        Electric or natural gas heat pumps
        Electric or natural gas heat pump water heaters
        Biomass stoves and boilers
    
    
    https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/energy-efficient-home...
    • hnburnsy 20 hours ago

      These are credits that only work if you have owe federal taxes and they cannot be carried forward. I've seen estimates that 40-45% of taxpayers owe 0 or close to 0.

      • mrd999 14 hours ago

        Eh? If you have income you owe taxes, Uncle Sam just takes it before you even see it

pkulak a day ago

If you're making plans 3 years out in the US, you're a fool.

reorder9695 16 hours ago

I don't know about all heat pump systems, but mine at least requires the water tank to have a resistive immersion too. If the tank temperature gets below some threshold the heat pump refuses to work and turns the immersion on instead until it's warmed up enough.

Sabinus 20 hours ago

That's a Biden-Harris administration action. What are the chances that Trump deletes it as a 'Democrat/WEF climate hoax con job' as soon as he's made aware of it?

AlexandrB 4 hours ago

The problem with heat pumps replacing electric heaters (in cold climates) is that the waste cold air gets dumped into the house and needs to be heated again. Generally, electric water heaters are expensive to run compared to gas ones, so people use them in places a gas heater is not possible to install (e.g. no way to vent the exhaust). This also means that the heat pump would have nowhere to vent cold air.

This kind of thing is why I don't like bans like this. The specifics matter a lot.

cucumber3732842 a day ago

Is that 2-3x before or after the plumber marks it up?

What an exceptionally moronic thing to ban, the market solves this naturally. Resistance heaters are 100% efficient whatever fraction of the year is heating days. So if that's 1/2 the year and the water heater can't last 16yr because of water quality the heat pump heater will never pay you back.

This reminds me a lot of the time some jerks in west coast desert states convinced the feds to regulate plumbing fixtures so that eastern "we take from the river and put back in the river" municipalities that have more water than they know what to do with have to suffer through low flow everything.

  • beAbU 11 hours ago

    Heat pumps are effectively more than 100% efficient fyi. You put 1000W of electricity in, you get 2500W of heat going into the water. (Numbers are only illustrative)

    Running cost of heat pumps for heating is much much lower than resistive heating.

  • hnburnsy 20 hours ago

    Heat pump water heater (hybrid/HPWH, e.g., 50–65 gallon equivalent): Unit prices range from ~$1,500–$3,000+ (most common models $2,000–$2,500), with total installed costs $2,500–$5,000 (higher if electrical upgrades or space mods needed). Average retrofit/install often lands around $3,000–$4,000.

    • lm28469 14 hours ago

      And for small households they virtually never pay for themselves before they die or need expensive maintenance... It only makes sense if you use a lot of water or if your electricity is very expensive. In my case it's even worse, with solar panels and self sufficiency they literally cannot break even

    • sgc 18 hours ago

      Electrical upgrades are almost always required, and price is more like 7k-9k around here. It's going to be seriously painful for a lot of people.

      • dashundchen 17 hours ago

        If you were in the market for an resistive electric heat pump, you likely had the service for it already. A heat pump version will almost always require less power.

        • sgc 8 hours ago

          My bad, read too quickly. I was thinking of the forced change over from gas water heaters, which is already happening in the California Bay Area and will only expand.

      • drhike 3 hours ago

        Ehh 120v models exist. My 65 gal runs fine on a standard 20a breaker.

      • quickthrowman 12 hours ago

        If you currently have an electric resistive water heater, a heat pump water heater with the same heating capacity will use 3-4x less power, which means you can use a much smaller circuit.

        A 6kW 240V EWH uses 25A, it’ll need #8 wire and a 35A or 40A breaker.

        An equivalent HPHW would use 1.5kW at 240V, or 6.25A. You can use #14s and a 15A breaker.

  • direwolf20 14 hours ago

    Is the heat pump heater taking heat from inside or outside the house?

    • lm28469 14 hours ago

      Depends on the model, but a lot use the air from their own room, that's why they can't be installed in small rooms. Models pulling the heat from outside are more expensive and require more labor obviously, and they don't make a lot of sense for places that are bellow 0c multiple month a year as the COP will drop to 1.x and you will most likely need extra electricity for the anti frost cycles

      • AlexandrB 4 hours ago

        But dumping the waste cold air into the house when it's below 0C outside doesn't make much sense either.