kioku 21 hours ago

> This isn't just compliance theater; it's a straight‑up national economic security play.

The woes of LLM contrasts…

In all seriousness, the points made ring true not only for European companies and should make everyone consider the implications of the current situation, as dreary as they are.

  • hintymad 8 hours ago

    Yeah, human brain is amazing. After I reading many AI replies, this kind style just stands out, even though I can't precisely describe it.

  • miohtama 18 hours ago

    Russian and China are already getting rid of Microsoft.

    • locknitpicker 15 hours ago

      > Russian and China are already getting rid of Microsoft.

      I don't know what you mean by China "getting rid of Microsoft" in the context of cloud providers. I mean, Azure is already present in China's internet, and just like any cloud provider present in China it's presence is a partnership with local cloud providers.

      Russia is getting rid of Microsoft not because it has a choice. They are subjected to sanctions due to their invasion of Ukraine, and that essentially cut their access to all tech services. By that measuring stick, Russia is also getting rid of Boeing and Airbus.

      • ivan_gammel 13 hours ago

        The most interesting part is that they do not rely on Western software solutions (Russia still needs hardware, China may reach full autonomy soon enough). If they could do it relatively quickly, EU can do it too. And EU now has exactly the same incentives.

    • tosapple 17 hours ago

      While they ditch Microsoft, Amazon and Oracle: we still use Linux, Sel4, ASML and ARM.

      There's lots of interesting stuff to watch out for.

      • krzyk 14 hours ago

        What's wrong in using Linux. It is an open source project with origins in Finland and still lead by a Fin.

      • akudha 16 hours ago

        What is wrong with using Linux?

      • mikeyouse 15 hours ago

        Isn’t Sel4 Australian?

        • christophilus 15 hours ago

          All of the things OP mentioned are non-US tech. I think the OP was speaking from a US perspective, though it’s not clear.

      • hbogert 16 hours ago

        what's wrong with using european stuff? (ARM, ASML)

        :P

    • Zigurd 17 hours ago

      True but obv. Only lunatics would use a Russian cloud service. The interesting part is whether and what extent China is different. Also, why Europe should start treating us like Russians.

      • ericmay 12 hours ago

        > The interesting part is whether and what extent China is different

        Much worse for the EU, both strategically and economically. You’ll be able to buy Chinese services and give them your data and money, but you won’t be able to operate in their market. Germany is feeling the pain there. [1] Strategically they’re a Russian ally and are actively supporting Russia’s war against Ukraine and further aims against the EU.

        Something like Russia -> China -> US as worst to least worst partners.

        The EU should invest in technical and military capabilities and divest from reliance on other countries and echos the US American position very closely.

        [1] For example https://www.autoblog.com/features/germanys-auto-industry-is-...

      • throwaway902984 15 hours ago

        Are you asking a rhetorical question or making a statement?

      • isodev 16 hours ago

        > why Europe should start treating us like Russians

        Because your CEOs have become power players in your politics and that’s generally a Russian/Oligarch thing.

        Like Apple trying to wiggle their way out of the DMA and when their bs arguments fail in court they send peach daddy with tariffs and what not.

      • allarm 16 hours ago

        > why Europe should start treating us like Russians.

        I don't know, maybe because your president is a dangerous lunatic? I really enjoy these "are we the baddies?" moments.

      • kaffekaka 16 hours ago

        You have a pro-russian leader.

  • nixpulvis 19 hours ago

    Just as America would like to reduce its dependence on external production, so to do other countries want to reduce their own. We used to live in a world converging toward maximal international trade, when in fact it was exploiting underdeveloped nations. As we progress globally, and as the development gap shrinks, we have noticed power dynamics which weren't well guarded against in the old way.

    So now what? How do we preserve a lot of the efficiencies of the past, while strengthening the resilience and redundancy. How can multiple nations create policy which drives business on partially compatible protocols?

    If I allow myself to be optimistic, I'd be hoping for more international lawyers and trade agreements. Protectionism is natural, but taken too far, isolationism is a death sentence.

    • dmix 19 hours ago

      > we have noticed power dynamics which weren't well guarded against in the old way

      The clearest example is a dependency on a single wealthy nation for military and world policing. It's a good thing for individual countries to be able to project their own foreign policy goals like containing Russia without having to rely on the whims of another country's politics. Even here in Canada we should be able to defend their own arctic border reliably and be able to project power to China/India beyond strongly worded letters.

      > I'd be hoping for more international lawyers and trade agreements.

      Ignoring the US's recent moves there does seem to be more trade deals than ever between 'middle powers'.

      > isolationism is a death sentence

      The best way to maintain global relationships is to offer tons of value. Similar to how China can get good trade deals and influence simply because they have so much to offer economically. This isn't just issues of diplomacy.

      • nixpulvis 18 hours ago

        Well said.

        One of the USA's greatest exports is intelligence and higher education, and what has been happening with that and the general anti-intellectual atmosphere is to me the most concerning as an american. Ironically, public education in america has been pretty bad for a while. But I'm going to start rambling here... way too many problems, and no damn leadership.

      • FpUser 16 hours ago

        >"like containing Russia"

        I think at the moment Canada faces way bigger problems from the south.

      • littlestymaar 18 hours ago

        > like containing Russia without having to rely on the whims of another country's politics

        That's true, but at the same time it was probably already the case before invasion of Ukraine, and it is definitely the case now.

        The main issue is political fragmentation: would Paris and Berlin risk lives of French and German people (soldiers and civilians due to retaliation) to save Vilnius?

        But if the answer is true (as obligated by the Treaty of Maastricht, independently of NATO) then Russia stands no chance with conventional weapons against the whole Western Europe, the balance of military, demographic and industrial power is ridiculously lopsided (involving nuclear weapons would also raise the same political question about the French willingness to nuke Russia in retaliation to Russia nuking Poland but if the answer is yes, Russia cannot win a nuclear war either (which everyone would lose)).

    • michaelt 19 hours ago

      > Just as America would like to reduce its dependence on external production, so to do other countries want to reduce their own.

      If anything, I'd say for other countries it's more urgent.

      If China embargoes deliveries of light bulbs to Europe, all the light bulbs already in place keep working. The pain would grow over time - giving a grace period, to ramp up local production.

      If America embargoes AWS, Google, Apple and Microsoft? The pain would be instant and severe.

      • hilbert42 an hour ago

        In case of war AWS, Google, Apple and Microsoft and others would be immediately directed by government to adopt its war strategy—like it or not—just as US manufacturing was forced to retool for war production during WWII.

      • agubelu 17 hours ago

        That would be as close to a declaration of war as you can get without firing a bullet.

        The immediate and obvious response would be for the foreign branches of those companies to be declared "of national interest", nationalized and forced to keep operating.

      • nixpulvis 19 hours ago

        I'm absolutely not an expert, but critical things for power and food production not to mention medical supplies and emergency equipment are also tied up pretty deeply in international trade.

        The world would break pretty quickly if we all just stopped trading with each other.

        • michaelt 18 hours ago

          Sure, but many products can be sourced from a load of countries.

          If you can't get natural gas from Russia you can get it shipped from America or Australia or Qatar - it's expensive as hell, and you might need to quickly build new regasification plants, but your economy keeps running. And there's no remote kill switch that disables the gas you already have in-country.

          That's not the case for the services provided by AWS, Google, Apple and Microsoft though - the 'competition' is one US provider vs another.

    • bborud 19 hours ago

      It is risky to believe that the development gap alone makes for higher economic efficiency when manufacturing things in China. There are very real structural differences in how various industries are organized. Not least in terms of geography.

      This is an aspect the west seems to have missed entirely as there are no attempts to learn from it or emulate it.

      Everyone knows about Shenzhen. Not everyone knows that this is how every major manufacturing industry is clustered in China in various cities and regions.

      • SoftTalker 15 hours ago

        The US did this with automobile and steel industries concentrated around the Great Lakes. It's not some kind of profound insight on the part of the Chinese.

        The downside is that it decimates entire regions if/when the demand for what they produce drops.

        • bborud 12 hours ago

          Yes, it has its risk, but that isn’t why the US or Europe don’t cluster industry to create higher efficiency. The risk can be mitigated. The political willingness and ability to do it deliberately just isn’t there.

      • nixpulvis 18 hours ago

        My point was that the development gap is what lead to the current situation, not that it's just cheap labor that makes Chinese stuff cheap.

        My point about maintaining higher economic efficiency is actually the same point you're making. How can the globe (not just the west vs the east) learn from the past and build for the future. We live in a magical world with translation services available to billions of people, how can we empower them to organize around the right ideas. How can we preserve culture and art while flooding ourselves with technologies developed globally? Who pays for security and research? Intellectual property law in general?

        So many big issues and questions still need a lot of work.

    • pyrale 18 hours ago

      > How do we preserve a lot of the efficiencies of the past, while strengthening the resilience and redundancy.

      Open source with clear international governance and maintainer/contributor base, in such a way that a geopolitical rift leaves both sides with working software.

      That works for tech and the infrastructure, of course, but not for the corporations built upon them.

      > more international lawyers

      I don't see that as a significant source of safety in our current world.

      > isolationism is a death sentence.

      The current US admin isn't isolationist, it's merely reverting back to 19th century imperialism.

    • RobotToaster 18 hours ago

      > If I allow myself to be optimistic, I'd be hoping for more international lawyers and trade agreements.

      One of the issues with the current system is that the WTO appellate body, which is effectively the court of world trade, requires USA approval for any appointments, which both Trump and Biden have refused to give. This effectively makes the WTO completely impotent.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appellate_Body

      • direwolf20 14 hours ago

        Didn't the rest of the world form their own WTO without the USA in it?

        • RobotToaster 10 hours ago

          Which seems completely pointless if they don't also revoke the USA's "Most favoured nation" status.

    • FpUser 16 hours ago

      >"but taken too far, isolationism is a death sentence"

      I would argue that few large countries have everything to be self sufficient. For the rest - they would have to band together to avoid being at the mercy of their bigger overlords.

      As for efficiencies of the past: I think they lead to a complete monopoly / near monopoly in few critical areas. The result - the monopoly power becoming a political weapon and or critical vulnerability.

202508042147 21 hours ago

Last week I migrated our db away from AWS RDS to a European cloud provider. Everything runs fine and we also have it cheaper!

One of our domains is due for renewal in a couple of months. I'm setting up the transfer to a EU registrar for it next week.

This all takes time and it's not the most important thing for the bottom line, but on the long run I'm sure I'll look back and say it was a great investment.

  • andsoitis 19 hours ago

    > Last week I migrated our db away from AWS RDS to a European cloud provider. Everything runs fine and we also have it cheaper!

    If I may ask, why didn't you choose the cheaper option before? What do you think you're trading off, if anything?

    • 202508042147 19 hours ago

      Going with the default, we were already using other services from them.

      • np_tedious 16 hours ago

        So you still have other stuff with AWS?

  • embedding-shape 20 hours ago

    > to a EU registrar

    Which one? I've been using DNSimple for so long, been trying to find something equally developer friendly who is based in Europe but haven't had much success. Used to use Gandi before DNSimple but it's obviously down the drain today.

    • nozzlegear 17 hours ago

      I've been using DNSimple for ages and I'm looking to switch; not because of geopolitical reasons (I'm American), but they're just damn expensive for the simple dns and domain management stuff I use them for.

      • manmal 13 hours ago

        Are there other good ones with such a nice API?

        • nozzlegear 13 hours ago

          Good question! Ironically I want to use their API to migrate somewhere else, but it'd need to have a good API to complete the migration :P

    • lillecarl 19 hours ago

      I use Scaleway as my registrar, I don't know if i can automate domain registration but I don't have to. They have APIs for managing records if you choose to host DNS there too.

    • new23d 20 hours ago

      netim.com has been reliable over the years for me

    • hk__2 18 hours ago

      What about OVH?

      • procaryote 17 hours ago

        OVH is awful. The UI is slow and buggy, operations often fail and you need slow contact with support.

        Worse, closing an OVH account is very hard. Every domain you host there they sign you up to several services, and you need to manually disable each one before they let you close the account. This then often gets stuck, because of the broken UI, and you end up needing to badger support over and over until they'll fix it

        Never again

      • rendaw 17 hours ago

        They have Fido 2FA too!

        But their web UI looks and feels like it was pieced together by hamsters. It doesn't leave me feeling confident in their technical abilities in any way.

    • 202508042147 20 hours ago

      Best would be to research a local one where you live. Support your community while you're at it!

      • embedding-shape 20 hours ago

        I live in a town with 10K other folks, I feel like I'd know if there was a local DNS registrar here :)

        But maybe I should be the change I wanna see!

  • fdgfikgfv 15 hours ago

    This is happening in the US firms too. Yesterday, our CTO asked us to look into multi-cloud solutions. We know it is politically motivated decision with no cost savings or benefit.

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  • rookonaut 20 hours ago

    Can you disclose which European cloud provider you chose?

    • 202508042147 20 hours ago

      We went with Hetzner as we already had good experiences with their VPSes. For this particular db migration, a resonably sized VPS with volumes does the job for us. We don't have planet scale operations so the lowish IOPS is not an issue atm. Also, with this experience at hand, I am confident that we'll manage another migration if need be.

      • esskay 20 hours ago

        Did the exact same thing for a client who's ops we managed on AWS. I was pretty against ditching RDS and a load balanced setup for hetzners load balancer and 3 instances (2 web, 1 db) but honestly, it's been pretty smooth sailing. The sites faster, and costs dropped massively, saving the client approx €900/mo for a better service.

      • gregman1 20 hours ago

        Afaik Hetzner has a couple of server locations in the USA. Is it correct to say that Hetzner has to comply to US CLOUD Act and therefore give away any data requested?

202508042147 21 hours ago

As a European, I am glad that this is finally discussed in the open! I have made multiple comments in the last weeks that one of the most important things, for me, is an alternative to the Visa/Mastercard duopoly. And yes, I can use an app to pay, but whenever I rent a car or purchase something online, I still use one of these two American companies. Why isn't the European Commission mandating these app payments in different EU countries to connect with each other? Wouldn't that go faster than the digital euro, that is set to come no earlier than 2029?

  • buckwheatmilk 19 hours ago

    It just plainly makes sense for central bank to offer a digital payments solution. Right now if I want to pay for something without 3rd party taking a cut is to mail the money in an envelope as if EU Central Bank denies existence of digital economy.

  • _tk_ 20 hours ago

    Take a look here: https://wero-wallet.eu/

    • 202508042147 16 hours ago

      Looking forward having this in the country where I live and in the countries I mostly travel to! Well, actually all over EU.

      What is unclear to me atm, is it possible to rent a car using wero? Also, can I pay online with it?

  • tmtvl 20 hours ago

    > yes, I can use an app to pay

    So you move the power from two American companies (Visa and Mastercard) to two American companies (Apple and Google)? What's that supposed to solve?

    Also, fuck apps. I had to set up an app for my mother to recharge her new hybrid car and I am not joking: at one point I had to create a log in for her and was greeted by a screen with two options: Log In (blue button, white text), and Log In (white button, blue text). I would rather use cash than an app (and I'm in Belgium, carrying around cash is like herding sheep through coyote territory).

    • 202508042147 19 hours ago

      > So you move the power from two American companies (Visa and Mastercard) to two American companies (Apple and Google)? What's that supposed to solve?

      Unsure what you mean, but for context I use an app developed by a consortium of local banks and it works by scanning a QR code. Indeed, I use an Android phone but my next one will be a de-googled one like a Fairphone with /e/OS. Hopefully the same app will work there...

      • severino 17 hours ago

        > Hopefully the same app will work there...

        That's the problem: currently many of those banking apps in the EU require having a phone with Google Play services and other "security" stuff that makes you reliant on American companies, like the post you're replying to claims.

        • 202508042147 16 hours ago

          Now that the cat is out of the bag, I am confident that those banking apps will (eventually) work without the likes of Google Play Services. Additionally, what i really want is an alternative to Visa/Mastercard, meaning I can use it for renting a car or paying online.

  • Imustaskforhelp 20 hours ago

    We have UPI in India and it's pretty Robust.

    My brother actually was part of deal in talks to have UPI pilots as a project within London as a project within his college and I remember him talking about how UPI (India) is in talks with other European countries too.

    With the mother of all deals recently signed between EU and India. I sincerely hope that UPI can have access within EU markets too.

    If you ever come to India, you can witness the astronomical rise of UPI. From street vendors to literally everybody now has UPI and it has 0 fees and is really great/one of the best.

    As for our brazillian friends, I have heard that pix is great too and I have respect to pix as well plus its open source as well. Both Pix and UPI are really great.

    • 202508042147 19 hours ago

      Yes, there are local alternatives like Pix here as well, but they only work in the same country. I need something that works across EU countries, like wero. I also need something that works on every site when I buy online and I can also use it when renting a car. So a real Visa/Mastercard alternative.

  • bluecalm 20 hours ago

    >>As a European, I am glad that this is finally discussed in the open! I have made multiple comments in the last weeks that one of the most important things, for me, is an alternative to the Visa/Mastercard duopoly.

    The main reason we don't have an alternative to Visa/Mastercard duopoly is protectionism of EU countries. There are local alternatives that do pretty well (BLIK in Poland, Revolut Pay in countries where it's popular) but entering more markets is like pulling teeth because EU throws regulatory obstacles at every step.

    >> Why isn't the European Commission mandating these app payments in different EU countries to connect with each other? Wouldn't that go faster than the digital euro, that is set to come no earlier than 2029?

    It would but then their non-local alternative could win which they really don't want to happen.

    • yoavm 20 hours ago

      > The main reason we don't have an alternative to Visa/Mastercard duopoly is protectionism of EU countries. There are local alternatives that do pretty well (BLIK in Poland, Revolut Pay in countries where it's popular) but entering more markets is like pulling teeth because EU throws regulatory obstacles at every step.

      That doesn't seem to make a lot of sense? How did Visa & Mastercard manage to go through the "protectionism of EU countries" then?

      • bell-cot 20 hours ago

        > How did Visa & Mastercard manage...

        I'd bet a combination of:

        - Got through before the red tape ramparts were nearly as thick as today

        - Ungentle arm-twisting by the US Gov't... at Visa & Mastercard's behest

        - Amply greased palms... which can't be traced to Visa or Mastercard. At least not in any jurisdiction which would do anything about it.

    • yobbo 19 hours ago

      > because EU throws regulatory obstacles at every step.

      No, the gatekeeping is done by local banks and governments to protect their oligopolies/cartels.

      There are many instant-pay apps across Europe and they are intentionally not interoperable outside of local markets. Each local banking oligopoly is trying to fence off competition. The main fear is from smaller neo-banks.

      • bluecalm 17 hours ago

        >>No, the gatekeeping is done by local banks and governments to protect their oligopolies/cartels.

        If you are pointing the distinction between gatekeeping at the EU level and country level I am not contesting that. It's clear though that the gatekeeping is the problem here (and in many other industries in EU).