Comment by epolanski

Comment by epolanski 4 days ago

79 replies

This made me research how much taxes would a wealthy californian pay assuming:

- 2.5M worth of real estate bought recently

- 1M of job income

- 1M selling shares that 10xed (some stock option idk)

- driving a 150k $ car

- spending 150k $ over the years in taxable goods

It came around 840'000 $ or around 40.1 %.

I wouldn't say it's that bad, this even includes sales taxes (probably the fairest of all taxes).

With even basic tax optimization (401k, federal deductions) you get that number down to 780'000 $, with something a bit more sophisticated depending on circumstances you can get it easily lower than 600k or 32% ish.

The biggest problem is that people above that tier end up effectively paying less sometimes even in absolute terms just by borrowing against their equity and not triggering taxable events.

Honestly taxes are complicated to implement, I'm not sure how can you implement a progressive yet fair system without loopholes and without severely degrading services (roads, infrastructure, education, healthcare, military, etc, etc).

And every time you decide to cut on services, you are just moving money elsewhere: more inequality -> more social tensions and criminality, you just end up paying way more to live in a safe place and pay for private and public security and prisons.

It's really difficult.

hcknwscommenter 4 days ago

I agree with your overall point. But I find it odd that you consider sales taxes to be the "fairest". Similarly, I find it odd that you put "progressive" taxes in some tension with "fair" taxes. Folks in the highest income range arguably benefit the most from govt services (e.g., infrastructure, defense, R&D, rule of law). They also have a much higher ability to pay well beyond basic survival needs. And, they can reduce sales tax burden by saving versus consuming, a choice that is not available to lower-income.

  • JKCalhoun 4 days ago

    I agree that a regressive tax like sales tax is not "fair" at all.

    I had a coworker that argued for a flat tax—considered that fair. I explained that anything less than a progressive tax was going to make the poor pay more and the wealthy pay less. Really, that's fair?

    You should be so lucky to have enough that you're in the highest tax bracket.

    • vunderba 4 days ago

      Yeah, I can't imagine somebody arguing in good faith that a flat tax is fair unless they are completely oblivious to the concept of the diminishing marginal utility of income.

      • nerdsniper 4 days ago

        A relatively high 'flat tax' might be palatable to the electorate as long as the first $85,000, give or take, was completely tax-free. People would only have to contribute once their own needs are met and they actually have something left over to contribute.

    • seanmcdirmid 3 days ago

      Mississippi taxes groceries and has a flat income tax (well, it has a deduction at least). That state is just never going to get better.

    • michtzik 4 days ago

      > I explained that anything less than a progressive tax was going to make the poor pay more and the wealthy pay less.

      Here's a formally-verified proof in Lean that with a flat tax, if you have more income, then you pay more tax: https://live.lean-lang.org/#codez=JYWwDg9gTgLgBAWQIYwBYBtgCM...

      The theorem uses one important assumption: that the flat tax rate is positive.

      • necovek 4 days ago

        I believe everybody understands that a percentage means exactly that.

        But if you account for minimum living expenses M, if you are under M, 30% of M is "more" than if you are at 10x M for the quality of your life. What scheme is "fair" is harder to figure out, though.

        Yes, I object to that type of language too, but let's not ignore the context.

JuniperMesos 4 days ago

> And every time you decide to cut on services, you are just moving money elsewhere: more inequality -> more social tensions and criminality, you just end up paying way more to live in a safe place and pay for private and public security and prisons.

There's no reason to think that the amount of taxpayer-funded services in a political jurisdiction has inversely proportional relationship with amount of crime that that happens there (nor any particular relationship with what kinds of crime, how serious the specific crimes are, and so on). Same thing with social tensions - social tension are caused by a lot of things, many of which aren't particularly related to the raw amount of taxpayer-funded services that exist. Would a more redistributive welfare state have made the partition of India between (mostly) Hindus and (mostly) Muslims less likely, for instance?

ponector 4 days ago

>> taxes are complicated to implement, I'm not sure how can you implement a progressive yet fair system without loopholes

It's hard, but possible. However the goal of people who created current tax code is exactly opposite: to create system with loopholes.

US tax code is a mess, there should be less amount of different taxes, more unified taxes.

RobotToaster 4 days ago

>I'm not sure how can you implement a progressive yet fair system without loopholes

Georgism, a single tax on the unimproved value of land

  • cbolton 3 days ago

    Would that help in any way with the increasing concentration of wealth? It doesn't seem to be particularly tied to land.

  • danny_codes 4 days ago

    Obviously, but then what would the feudal lords sorry I mean landlords do? /s

atmavatar 4 days ago

> sales taxes (probably the fairest of all taxes).

Just curious: what makes you come to this conclusion?

  • Pet_Ant 4 days ago

    I’m assuming they think that rich people spend more so they pay more. This is a fallacy, because poor people spend a higher portion of their income (over a 100% a lot of the time).

    • epolanski 4 days ago

      Most economists agree that sales taxes are the fairest because they are always proportional to consumption.

      • thisislife2 4 days ago

        I don't get it - what about "taxing consumption" makes it "fair"? Poor people aren't poor because they spend more money than others. They are poor because they don't have enough money to live a "decent" life (assume a middle-class lifestyle) or to even save it. Right?

      • lazylizard 4 days ago

        i thought most economists would agree that consumption should be encouraged and savings should be discouraged. and that'd be how progressive taxes work? people tend to save more and consume less as their incomes increase?

      • IAmBroom 4 days ago

        Citation required.

        The economists I've read disagree strongly.

  • dillydogg 4 days ago

    It's funny, because sales tax is considered among the most regressive form of taxation we employ from my understanding, which is supported by my econ friends. But I'm certainly not an economist.

    • epolanski 4 days ago

      Economists argue that they are the fairest because they tax consumption rather than production.

      Also everybody pays them, including people that avoid taxes (including criminal activities and tax evaders).

      The argument against this is that lower income households pay more of it as a portion of their income thus the consensus is that to be fairest you need rebates and no taxes on many essentials (which is why often medicines or milk, bread etc have very low or no sales tax/rebates).

      • wahern 3 days ago

        I think you're confusing fair with efficient.

        IIRC, consumption taxes are more efficient in that, ceteris paribus, they result in the least economic distortion in terms of global wealth and productivity compared to alternatives like income taxes. But they're the least fair in the sense that those lower on the income bracket bear a higher burden in terms of marginal cost due to the higher fraction of necessary living expenses relative to income. Your first $1 of income and consumption has more marginal value to you and society then the second $1; so an X% tax on that first dollar has a higher marginal cost than X% on the second dollar. It's unfair in a very meaningful sense, not just a hand-wavy rhetorical sense; everything in economics is about marginal pricing.

        Think of it this way, which has more marginal value, a) $1 spent on food required for a person to live, or b) $1 spent on a fancy fixture for a new yacht? The answer is (a), both from the perspective of the individual and society has a whole; society because $1 spent sustaining a living individual contributes more productive capacity to society than $1 spent toward a yacht fixture, even after accounting for the fact someone was paid to make the fixture.

        AFAIU, it follows that efficiency and fairness (in the sense of marginal cost) are fundamentally related. But it gets really complicated from there--complexity that the "ceteris paribus" above is hiding--and drawing concrete policy conclusions much more fraught. Relatedly, consumption taxes can be structured in a progressive manner similar to income taxes, but... it's complicated; it's not so easy to ameliorate the unfairness issue, and once you start graduating rates it becomes difficult to compare schemes directly. For instance, I think just as a practical administrative and accounting matter progressive income taxation is easier to accomplish than progressive consumption taxation.

      • charlieyu1 4 days ago

        And it kills the economy and kills most small businesses. How is it fair to tax unprofitable businesses instead of a straight profit tax?

      • dillydogg 4 days ago

        It is a good point. It depends on how regressive is defined. There are many competing arguments here, but two I am aware of are

        1. Regressive deals with % of income spent.

        2. Regressive deals with an ideal state where those with more excess income contribute more than those with less.

        In both of these, I suppose sales tax is regressive if it applies to all items, but only 2 is regressive with sophisticated rebates and untaxed categories.

      • IAmBroom 4 days ago

        > Economists argue that they are the fairest...

        You keep saying this, as if it will make this true. Please list these "economists"/"most economists".

  • MengerSponge 4 days ago

    "The law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread." -Anatole France

Yizahi 4 days ago

I can't say how much such a person should pay in taxes, but it is kinda funny that I'm paying the same amount 39.5-40% with my five digit salary and no property.

I don't know who should pay what amount, but I'm pretty sure that me and that millionaire should have different tax brackets. Let alone people with tens, hundreds of millions or more.

PS: I'm in EU, not USA, but here I'm in a highest tax bracket so the point still stands, my tax rate is the same as for any local millionaire. Maybe even more, since those people are aggressively utilizing tax loopholes, shell corporations and offshore tax havens.

  • apelapan 4 days ago

    You pay the same proportion, not the same amount. 40% of 1M is 10x more than 40% of 100k.

    Disregarding all technicalities about what proportion people actually end up paying after performing clever tax planning.

    Why are you sure that someone earning 1M should have higher proportion of their income taken away than someone earning 100k?

    At some sufficiently low level of income I think it stops making sense collecting taxes, but beyond that I'm not so sure from a fairness-perspeective.

    I could perhaps get on board with a hard cap on wealth, for preserving democracy. It is dangerous to have single individuals and families attain too much power. But up to that cap, I don't see any inherent unfairness or inefficiency in that people of moderate to high wealth pay the same proportional rate.

    • Yizahi 4 days ago

      I agree about wealth cap. I suspect that ultra-rich would rather pay higher taxes than have a hard cap. Or cap will be defined in such way as to become meaningless. This is why I advocate for high tax brackets, as being more realistic in practice.

      As for proportionality - taxes are inherently unfair on the individual level. But they are fair on the large society level. All of our niceties are essentially funded from taxes. Current "free market" plus corruption mean that to finance growth more and more money is needed and part of them come from more and more taxes. But a lot of basic goods are fix price or low enough price, so that they make le and less percent of person expenses the more income rises. So to be more fair, it is fairer to increase tax on the ultra-rich class and spare tax increase on poorer classes, making average suffering lower. If we simply increase all taxes, then the lower the income the more tax a person would pay. It in kinda unfair and not productive to do it this way.

    • JKCalhoun 4 days ago

      > I could perhaps get on board with a hard cap on wealth, for preserving democracy.

      Well, a progressive (also wealth?) tax should help to accomplish that.

      • apelapan 4 days ago

        What I am trying to disagree with, is the notation that it is unfair if high-earners and very-high-earners hand the same proportion of their wealth and income over to the government.

        My take on the wealth-cap is that it isn't about fairness at all. Actually I think it would be mostly unfair, but that it would be good for society anyway. Fairness is an important value, but it is not the only value.

JackSlateur 3 days ago

But tax may be easy to implement

I think reversed-VAT is the good way to do

The overall idea with VAT is that you are taxed when you buy things

The reversed-VAT is the idea that you are taxed when you earn money (not "income" as in "salaries": every time some wealth are earned somehow)

Fixed rate, money's origin is of no concern, nor is money's usage

Say, you have a 40% tax on everything (using the same rate is important): - your company sold random stuff: you keep 60% - you earned money from interest / investment / etc: you keep 60% - income from your job: you keep 60% - a gift from your uncle: you keep 60% - inheritance: you keep 60% - exchange some money between your companies: you keep 60% - you borrow something: you keep 100% (it will fall back to 40% tax if that borrow is transformed into a gift) - you earned something of value (non-money gift), in one form or another: you have to pay 40% of its value

The root of all evil is the thinking that tax are made to make "a better world", that it is a tool a (social) justice or whatever

But it must be the same for everybody. Because only then it can be simple. And the more complex it is, the more loophole you have ("whack a mole" style as we have today)

Now, one person could keep all his money. Is it an issue ? No ! First, because he would have been taxed to 40% already. And then, because everybody dies someday. And that day, 40% of this person's riches will be retrieved: which would, again, be nice to the society as a whole: it would damage multi-generational wealth (while not void it).

paulsutter 4 days ago

Just make borrowings above the basis taxable as gains, its not hard

readthenotes1 4 days ago

Even Georgism style taxes will face the problem that if the tax is high enough, it will be worth hiring some really smart person to figure out how to work around it.

Of course, you're also going to have to face the problem that representative democracy includes the ability to buy loopholes.

And then, there are unintended consequences because representatives aren't necessarily the most financially savvy. I'm thinking about the 401k program that disproportionately advantages high income people when it was touted as a savings route for middle class people.

  • OkayPhysicist 4 days ago

    The 401k statute didn't actually grant any additional abilities to people: It set limits on a tax dodge you could already do. If I'm a CEO at $MEGABUCKS, and I make vastly more money than I need each year, I'm paying in a high tax bracket. I could instead strike a deal with my employer: cut my pay in half, and then keep paying me after I stop working here (pausing payments if I get another job), until the difference between what I would have made and have made is eliminated. All perfectly legal. But what I've done is taken money that was destined to taxed at a high tax bracket, and deferred it into a lower one (by spreading it across multiple years).

    401k identifies this loophole and sets limits. Setting contribution caps, limiting withdrawals until retirement, etc. Then they incentivized offering it to the poors, too, because working out an ad-hoc agreement like that is the sort of shit only really high power people in a company have the opportunity to do.

    In short, the primary purpose of 401ks wasn't to benefit the middle class, it was to slightly reign in the rich.

    • jjav 3 days ago

      > 401k identifies this loophole and sets limits

      This loophole is very much alive today. I've recently worked at a large public company where the company allowed any percentage of pay to be deferred into the future.

      The regular workers couldn't afford to do this of course, but the executives making many millions would defer most of their pay into the far future (presumably after retirement) to pay very little tax today.

    • readthenotes1 3 days ago

      401ks don't do that, nor do they stop 2 other tax dodges:

      -- instead of pay, take out a loan from the company with stock as collateral.

      -- pay for personal expenses for the family on company credit card.

      Both loans get paid at death and/or sale of company

popalchemist 4 days ago

Sales tax is one of the most UNFAIR, being a flat tax, it affects people in indirect proportion to their wealth (poorest hit hardest, proportionately).

  • epolanski 4 days ago

    This is the only counter argument, and in fact the consensus is that they are the fairest (they tax consumption rather than production, we tend to tax producing wealth more than spending it) if you offer rebates or lower them on essentials (bread, milk, eggs, healthcare).

    They also have the effect that everybody has to pay them, including tax evaders, tax loophole abusers, criminals with undeclared incomes, etc, everybody has to pay it.

    But yes, without offering sales tax rebates or with taxing essentials then your argument is true and they become less fair.

    Albeit, the elephant in the room is always the definition of fairness itself.

    • necovek 4 days ago

      Even with sales tax being on consumption, rich people and their accountants always look how to reduce the burden: say, that trip to Hawaii was a business trip, and that expensive suit a business cost, and sometimes you can claim some of that is "wholesale" purchase to avoid it.

      In jurisdictions using VAT (like most of Europe), there are whole schemes like that to effectively reduce your VAT burden through use of company purchasing.

      • crote 3 days ago

        It is insane how much upper-middle-class people commit tax fraud, without even thinking twice about it.

        I've heard at least half a dozen stories of kids' computers being bought by daddy's consultancy business, avoiding both income tax and sales tax.

        Same with "business lunches", where you're just hanging out with a buddy who happens to be vaguely involved in a similar industry.

        The general feeling seems to be that paying taxes is for losers and you're stealing from yourself if you're not doing minor tax fraud.

        This kind of tax avoidance simply isn't available to lower-class salaried workers. They are forced to pay the full bill.

    • nrabulinski 4 days ago

      In my eyes they are not fair, because while they tax consumption, they very disproportionately affect buying power the less wealth you have. For a millionaire, paying let’s say 30% more for new shoes is not going to meaningfully change how much money they’re left with. If I’m poor and I need new shoes (because you can’t just afford a new shoes when you want them so it by necessity implies you’re in desperate need of them), that extra 30% means one less grocery trip. Or heck, even 30% on groceries potentially means one less grocery trip.

      Which is to say, being poor is expensive, and sales tax only makes it more expensive, while literally not affecting the bottom line of those in higher income brackets.

      • Manuel_D 4 days ago

        But wealthier people tend to consume more. The top 10% of earners account for~50% of consumer spending. It's more like the low income person pays $5 of sales tax on a $50 pair of shoes, and a high income person pays $50 of sales tax on a $500 pair of shoes.

arjie 4 days ago

Selecting the precise threshold where a marginal point kicks in is pretty funny, though I'm sure you didn't intend it. Above a million there's also the MHSA tax. Marginal at over a million is 50% or more unless you optimize.

pants2 4 days ago

This doesn't seem quite right. Even using SmartAsset's income tax calculator for a city in California, I'm getting around a 45%+ tax rate for someone making one million a year of income.

It's actually pretty easy to pay an 80%+ tax rate in California if you consider taxes that your employer pays, sales tax (11%+ in some areas), local assessments, capital gains tax, etc.

  • epolanski 4 days ago

    In cali capital gains are part of income.

    Taxes paid by your employer aren't taxes you pay.

    I'm quite sure your calculator is very basic and stops at 401ks and little more, there's stuff like mortgage interest, being married with kids, backdoor roth, etc.

    But yeah, wouldn't change the number you said dramatically, maybe it would lower it to 45%ish on a 2M income.

    • at-w 4 days ago

      >Taxes paid by your employer aren't taxes you pay.

      They have the same effect in that they reduce what employees take home in a given labour market. Employees are effectively paying them in the same way that people who buy alcohol/cigarettes effectively pay more in states with higher taxes on those items (even though the taxes are technically paid by the stores).

      If CA eliminated all income taxes and instead had employers remit the same effective rate for all salaried employees, employers would just reduce salaries accordingly.

      As another example, France's income tax rates cap out around/below some high tax US states. But France is still a comparatively high tax jurisdiction largely because they also impose massive payroll taxes on employers which effectively reduce employee wages.

      • OkayPhysicist 4 days ago

        > >Taxes paid by your employer aren't taxes you pay.

        > They have the same effect in that they reduce what employees take home in a given labour market.

        Careful, you're thinking like a Marxist (assigning value based on costs ultimately culminating in labor). Under Capitalism, value is assigned based on the meeting point between what people are willing to pay, and what people are willing to sell it for. Some things, like Pokemon cards, are far more valuable than any costs incurred in their production. Other things, like Aunt Betty's utterly disastrous attempts at baked goods, are worth less than then they cost to produce. Payroll taxes only directly effect the purchaser's willingness to pay. Only if we believe that companies are currently paying 100% of the wages they would be willing to pay if they needed to can we call the payroll tax entirely a tax on the worker.

    • vikingerik 4 days ago

      Taxes paid by your employer are indeed paid by you. If your salary is X and the company is paying Y worth of payroll tax, then they're really paying X+Y for your services, which would all be salary going to you if not for the payroll tax.

      • OkayPhysicist 4 days ago

        As I pointed out elsewhere, "X+Y... would all be salary going to you if not for the payroll tax" makes the assumption that companies are currently paying 100% of what they could possibly be willing to pay for that employee's labor. Given the profitability of California's companies, I suspect there's some surplus there. And a surplus suggests that the value of the labor is being driven moreso by what price will attract sufficient employees, which would only change due to 2nd or 3rd order effects by the elimination of payroll taxes (via competitors willing to pay more for a finite pool of top laborers popping up).

        • necovek 4 days ago

          I believe it is a reasonable hypothesis that if payroll taxes were removed, 2nd order effect would be that employers have more money to offer for all positions, and in a market driven job market, prices would increase and thus salaries would converge to X+Y, yet they would be worth the same as X today.

          Yes, likely not exactly the same (a bit more kept by employers in overcrowded job markets, a bit less in others), but it would essentially support the interpretation that most of that is really a tax that goes out of employee "budget", or their total comp.

      • tom_ 4 days ago

        But the value Y could also be put towards hiring somebody else to do an additional job, giving somebody else a pay rise, or giving money to the shareholders.

        • necovek 4 days ago

          In market dynamics, a worker becoming cheaper means that some employers will fight to hire/keep an employee on that surplus, thus driving the employment cost up for everybody else.

          Yes, it probably would depend on positions and available talent, but overall and over a longer period, if applied universally to a market (say state like CA), it will be reasonable to expect salary increases (but not increase of how much is that worth because of increasing purchasing power, and increase in prices due to higher willingness to pay).

      • jjav 3 days ago

        > which would all be salary going to you

        That part is not necessarily (or even probably) true, if payroll tax didn't exist the company might not pay all of that to you unless they had to.

        But that's a nitpick... overall, it is true that the fully burdened cost of having that employee is X+Y, so that's the number the company needs to consider when deciding whether they can afford to hire (or keep) this person or not.

        • vikingerik 3 days ago

          The competitive market would take care of that. The employer that most wants your services will offer the X+Y, and competition will induce others to do the same. (No, the job market isn't perfectly liquid, but in principle that's what would happen.)

_DeadFred_ 4 days ago

I mean Capitalism's solution to labor movement is to create company towns and using scrip to prevent it's workforce from freedom to leave. Maybe we can apply similar Capitalist principles/established solutions in this scenario?

cherrycherry98 4 days ago

I also like the idea of sales taxes over income and especially wealth taxes for a number of reasons.

1. It limits the opportunities for the government to use force on the general population. Today, if you do not file your annual taxes, men with guns come and put you in jail. A sales tax does not require this level of enforcement to be inflicted on the average citizen.

2. It's voluntary to a degree. Today if you don't like what the government is doing and want boycott paying taxes you cannot practically do so because of point 1 above. With a sales tax you can decide to defer unnecessary spending as a form of protest.

3. In theory it's vastly simpler to reason about and plan for. The myriad of tax advantaged accounts that have proliferated over the years in the US is daunting: IRAs, 401k/403b, 529s, FSAs, HSAs, Trump Accounts, Roth variants. We ask citizens to best guess how to allocate investments between these vehicles for goals decades in the future. If you need emergency access you're often looking at paying penalties. Not to mention the poor user experience baked into many of the designs. 401ks put the burden on your employer to restrict your investment options to their curated choices and their chosen plan administrator. You have to leave your job and roll it into an IRA to finally have the freedom to pick your own investments and who you have the account with. FSAs have the annoying use-it-or-lose-it rules. 529s are bizarrely state sponsored but you can choose a plan from any state. Like your state's plan but want to have the account at your broker? Too bad, you have to use the administrator your state chooses.

4. It's widely understood that if want less of something you should tax it. By taxing income and wealth it discourages work and saving. A sales tax discourages consumption instead, which encourages saving and is also pro environmental.

5. Changing asset allocation is free. Today, changing investments in a taxable account, where there are gains, triggers a taxable event. This discourages the movement of that capital to other investments.

6. In theory it's harder to dodge taxes as the simpler system has less loopholes.

7. On average, people with more wealth should have more expensive lifestyles which translates to them paying higher taxes.

I understand the arguments that sales taxes are regressive, let rich people dodge taxes by living frugally, etc. I accept all that may be true and I'm ok with it. Many seem fixated on using the tax code as a mechanism to level inequalities, as if that were its primary function, and a sales tax doesn't advance that goal enough for them. I think I can accept that some people are going to be vastly wealthier than me and are going most likely live a much easier life because of it; much like I can accept that some people are going to much prettier than me, taller than me, less genetically disposed to certain medical conditions, have been born to better families/circumstances and those things can all provide significant advantages in one's life.