Comment by ceejayoz

Comment by ceejayoz 3 days ago

A missile is a demonstration of military force. Everyone in the region knows Israel is capable of blowing up a building.

This is a "we've got you hopelessly compromised as an organization" sort of demonstration that's far more humiliating.

For a similar example, see the US response to 9/11 - two decades of war, taking shoes off at airports, etc. - versus the US response to COVID, which killed a 9/11 worth every couple of days, but resulted in a "but I don't wanna wear a mask" response.

s1artibartfast 3 days ago

[flagged]

Reply View 7 replies

ceejayoz 3 days ago

> It's easy to sit online and make bold and vague claims like there will be armed escalation in retaliation.
I mean, that's the pretty standard response in this conflict. Permanent tit-for-tat, back-and-forth, for decades/millennia depending on how broadly you count things. For a concrete example, Iran's April strikes.
> What do you think constitutes a major escalation?
Terror attacks on Israeli assets abroad - I'd be keeping embassies/consulates on alert - and rocket strikes against Israel. At least enough to try to save face, although the Iranian strikes offer a "good luck" for that.
> I would happily bet against a ground invasion.
By Hezbollah? Well, yeah.

Reply View | 6 replies
- s1artibartfast 3 days ago
  
  [flagged]
  
  Reply View | 5 replies
  
  ceejayoz 3 days ago
  
  I think Netanyahu's champing at the bit for escalation, and there's plenty of precedent for relatively small things triggering big responses.
  As a concrete example, the last big Israel-Lebanon war resulted from the capture of two Israeli soldiers in a border raid; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Lebanon_War
  
  Reply View | 4 replies