Comment by mrtksn

Comment by mrtksn 3 days ago

137 replies

> most likely answer is that a shipment of pagers was intercepted and implanted with explosives

I agree, there are photos and videos of extensive damage to furniture and injuries that go way beyond what a small lithium battery would NORMALLY do.

Also, all the CCTV footage I've seen indicates explosions and not fire.

It can be explosives planted, However it can be batteries modified to explode instead of burn&outgas. I recall a video of someone losing their lives when their vape battery exploded. IIRC the vape's metal structure acted as a container that enabled pressure build up and eventual sudden release.

There are many stories about vapes exploding, some causing serious damage similar to these:

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/vape-explod...

https://www.dailydot.com/debug/e-cig-vape-pen-explosion/

Kind of makes sense to modify the battery because since they still need a functioning battery anyway and the space is limited.

kergonath 3 days ago

> It can be explosives planted, but maybe it can be batteries modified to explode instead of burn.

That is not really a thing, from a technical point of view. Changing the chemistry of the battery (assuming that a suitably explosive one exists; these tend not to be developed very far) would just be swapping an explosive and not a modification. Doing something like adding some vessel to build up pressure within the battery sounds impractical (you’d need something very resistant to heat as a battery fire goes above 2000 K), at which point it’s not worth the trouble.

The most likely is either some explosive besides the battery, or something that looks like a battery from the outside, but is actually half explosive on the inside to at least pass superficial inspection.

This kind of damage really does not look like a battery gone wrong. It would have left all sorts of chemical residues and burned very differently.

  • rdtsc 3 days ago

    > The most likely is either some explosive besides the battery, or something that looks like a battery from the outside, but is actually half explosive

    That is the most plausible explanation. It can’t be an obvious thing or someone would notice it. If it looks like a plain battery pack, nobody would think of cutting it open.

    • londons_explore 3 days ago

      The explosive here could be perhaps just 8mm x 8mm x 8mm to do the sort of blasts you see in the videos. Thats fairly small, and could easily be hidden in a device.

      Inside the battery is perhaps the best hidden, but you'd need to own a bunch of battery manufacturing facilities (expensive). Cheaper would be to simply remove some other component (eg. one of two speakers) and replace it.

      • wongarsu 3 days ago

        Most (pouch-shaped) Li-Ion batteries just look like square shapes packaged in heavy aluminum foil, with some Kapton tape to keep a small PCB with protection circuitry in place. Any determined hobbyist could buy smaller batteries and the packaging materials off AliExpress to make something that looks visually similar but has lots of space left over for explosives.

        With cylindrical batteries it's a bit harder, but ultimately they are just a cylinder with pressed-on end caps. You can disassemble them (lots of videos on youtube), change the contents and reassemble them.

        It is pretty high effort compared to just sticking the explosives next to the pager's electronics, but I don't think the barrier to entry is actually that high

      • HenryBemis 3 days ago

        Considering the tech industry of Israel and the bottomless military/security budget, this is very plausible.

        Also considering that a plan like that must have taken many months/years start-to-end, this just makes me wonder what else is booby-trapped(?), fridges? laptops? microwave ovens? the next door flat? flower pots?

        Stuff like that take the paranoia levels all the way to 11.

      • nwiswell 3 days ago

        > Inside the battery is perhaps the best hidden, but you'd need to own a bunch of battery manufacturing facilities (expensive).

        Do you?

        What stops you from just taking a smaller battery and packing it with some plastic explosive into the typical "battery foil"? I'm sure the IDF is capable of doing that at scale.

      • bragr 3 days ago

        A quick google search reveals multiple battery manufacturing facilities in Israel, including domestic and foreign owned corporations. A special order of batteries seems very plausible.

      • rdtsc 3 days ago

        I don't see someone like Iran or Lebanon being able to do that, but Israel has a great technical know-how and a ton of resources. Making custom batteries, with embedded explosives seems plausible.

      • [removed] 3 days ago
        [deleted]
      • numpad0 3 days ago

        The pagers in question is believed to be a dry cell operated model. It could be a rigged AA battery.

        ...oh no. They must have handed out those USB rechargeable batteries as an upgrade. The bad guys want to be able to charge it, so they would be incentivized to align the charge port with case back and explosives facing the user. Then the battery could be triggered by time since synchronization && backlight current draw && button press beep.

  • varjag 3 days ago

    One easy way to conceal the explosive would be to overmold it in a cavity inside the plastic enclosure. This would escape all but the most thorough inspections. And since battery terminals are typically also embedded in the plastic this can provide a clandestine supply of power and signal with something like Dallas protocol to the fuse.

  • delfinom 3 days ago

    I work in the battery space.

    All you have to do is build replacement batteries without the pressure relief vents. You can easily get a Chinese manufacture to do this for a fee and properly some complaining about how stupid it is to do.

    Then wrap it in some nichrome wire and have a micro run some power through it. The nichrome wire will overheat the cell really quickly causing the cell to rapidly over pressurize and boom.

    Small pouch or prismatic cells that would be used at the size of a pager generally won't burn. And I speak from experience of doing stupid shit to them in the name of testing, nothing like using the nail puller side of a hammer to puncture them, or rigging up a fixture with 3 concrete nail guns to shoot it or well, fun stuff

    • jandrewrogers 3 days ago

      This wasn't a battery, it doesn't match the damage seen. The evidence has all the hallmarks of a small charge of high-explosive.

    • gizmo 3 days ago

      Explosions are essentially about extremely rapid expansion of gasses. I don’t see how a battery, even one that is rigged to fail, can explode in an instant. Shorting out, overheating, and ultimately exploding because the battery compartment can no longer contain the expansion has got to be too slow by many orders of magnitude. Your theory makes no sense to me.

      • Retr0id 3 days ago

        Pressure vessels without a pressure-relief system explode once sufficiently pressurized.

      • wizardforhire 3 days ago

        It’s the simultaneous timing thats a giveaway for me. Maybe you could have a few batteries explode but 2000 of them? It’s too clean to be just batteries imo.

    • londons_explore 3 days ago

      These pagers probably had puch cells - those catch fire violently, but don't explode because the film can't contain much pressure.

    • dboreham 3 days ago

      Ok well someone's on some TLA's list now.

      • [removed] 3 days ago
        [deleted]
    • FergusArgyll 3 days ago

      How do you ensure they all blow up at once?

      • efitz 3 days ago

        Modified firmware that triggers on a receipt of a particular message and/or from a particular number?

      • ocdtrekkie 3 days ago

        > Then wrap it in some nichrome wire and have a micro run some power through it.

        Presumably some software that triggers this?

      • mrtksn 3 days ago

        I see some reports claiming that the trigger message was “07734 58008” but hard to tell if all these accounts are serious.

        My guess would be that not only the battery but also the main board was modified to initiate the action.

        edit: why do you think I'm not sure if they are serious? Calculator jokes are not a niche humor :)

    • davidw 3 days ago

      I want to see a video of this compared to explosives.

    • mrtksn 3 days ago

      Very interesting, so the battery modification is plausible it seems.

      • highcountess 3 days ago

        I agree with this theory even though I am not even sure it would require a specific modification like the mentioned heating wire, if you can simply use the existing circuit with some instruction to cause component overheating with the same effect.

        Another reason I do not believe it was an explosive is that a clandestine explosive installation would have resulted in far greater damage and included shrapnel. Because why would you not install very high explosives and shrapnel in a shape charge that directed the explosion into the likely body of the wearer if you are taking the risk of intercepting and making a physical modification.

        This is also less Stuxnet and more infiltrating insecure systems of vehicles to drive by wire accelerate cars into objects. There have been examples of this

  • mrtksn 3 days ago

    You are probably right but explosives risk detection, either by the militants or by the airport security if taken to a flight to a country with serious security.

    • ale42 3 days ago

      Detection by airport security might probably be avoided using the right type of explosive. I have no real idea about this, but I suspect that any nation-state with enough budget and know-how can manufacture undetectable or very hard-to-detect explosive devices. If the explosive is encapsulated in a sealed airtight container, which is properly "washed" after manufacturing, I guess there's no way to chemically detect the explosive inside. Not sure about how to avoid X-Ray detection but that's generally not the way explosives are actually detected.

      And, is the device anyway going to pass through airport security? I guess the owners are not really travelling on commercial airliners.

      • jandrewrogers 3 days ago

        The scanners only test for the signatures of common chemical structures of explosives, like nitro and nitrate groups, which make up the bulk of mass produced explosives. There are many lesser known chemistries for high explosives that will not be detected by these scanners. Probably the best known example actually used by terrorists are explosives based on peroxide chemistry but there are several others.

      • mrtksn 3 days ago

        These devices apparently were distributed to thousands of operatives. I would imagine that people having those are some of the more elite ones and they probably will travel for business reasons, be it personal business or Hezbollah business. A few who choose to take their pagers with them(i.e. will not be heading straight home after travel, so brings the pager) are huge risk IMHO. Even a single incident may reveal the plot.

        I don't know how those detectors at the airports work exactly but they are probably playing cat and mouse game with the people who are into smuggling things and as a result they are probably aware of the more advanced methods like injecting things into the plastic.

    • londons_explore 3 days ago

      news reports suggest 1000+ of these devices exploded.

      In a country where lots of people would happily crack open the lid of a device to replace the battery or otherwise tinker, the explosives must have been well hidden, not just tucked into the case.

      • ArnoVW 3 days ago

        it is my understanding that the devices had been delivered recently

      • [removed] 3 days ago
        [deleted]
  • water-data-dude 3 days ago

    I don’t think they’re saying you’d need to change the chemistry though, they’re saying they could have altered way it was packaged so that when it started burning there was nowhere for the gas to go.

    Similar to how firecrackers work. If you take a firecracker apart and light the powder, you’ll get a flash and a lot of smoke, but no bang. The explosion comes from the pressure building up in an enclosure.

    Disclaimer: not a chemist. Just a former unwisely curious kid

    • Beijinger 3 days ago

      "If you take a firecracker apart and light the powder, you’ll get a flash and a lot of smoke, but no bang. The explosion comes from the pressure building up in an enclosure."

      True. But if you open enough firecrackers and put the powder in a small plastic container you will not get a bang but a buff and a fireball the size of a car.

      Disclaimer: I am a chemist and a former very unwisely curious kid

bagels 3 days ago

CCTV footage of one of the explosions:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dozens-hezbollah-m...

This isn't how lithium batteries fail.

  • mortenjorck 3 days ago

    Yeah, this should remove any doubt that there were explosives involved. At the 500 to 1000 mA hour capacity typically used in pagers, even tampering with the battery's venting in an attempt to build up gas pressure would at worst result in a pop and some smoke from the top of the bag.

    Blowing a hole in the side of the bag and sending debris for several meters is obviously not plausible with that quantity of lithium.

  • this_steve_j 3 days ago

    The explosion in the video does show visible smoke, but there is not a visible flame or fire.

    • bagels 3 days ago

      It's about the lack of visible flame, but more about the velocity of the burn, essentially instantaneous at normal camera speeds.

  • LightBug1 3 days ago

    [flagged]

    • axlee 3 days ago

      Looks pretty discriminate to me, only the pager holder was affected. I've seen multiple videos with very close bystanders completely unharmed. And whoever holds a pager from Hezbollah is a member of an armed terrorist group officially at war with Israel.

    • underlipton 3 days ago

      [flagged]

      • mytailorisrich 3 days ago

        All the media reports say that these were the pagers distributed by Hezbollah to its members.

        Objectively this is therefore targeted, not indiscriminate...

Hermandw 3 days ago

Amir Tsarfati: The updated numbers:

4000 wounded of which 400 in critical conditions

Al Jazeera from a Lebanese security source:

The pagers were brought to Lebanon 5 months ago. They were boobytrapped in advance. Each device contained an explosive weighing no more than 20 grams.

  • oldpersonintx 3 days ago

    whoever is good/evil aside...

    hezbollah got totally owned and look like fools...relying on tech they just took at face value out of the box

    • olalonde 3 days ago

      To add insult to injury, they specifically used "low tech" pagers in order to avoid Israel attacks.

ethagnawl 3 days ago

I had a rechargeable battery explode in my kitchen recently and it was like a small grenade went off. I'll see if I can find the photos but it shattered trim and bits went through a screen on the other side of the room.

So, an "excited" AA (which, I believe is what pagers usually use) could do a surprising amount of damage.

Photo: https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/111/40...

  • pvaldes 2 days ago

    Urg, I used exactly this brand in the past.

    Is an interesting problem. Maybe the experts in the area could help here. I assume that a worn battery near the end of its life is more prone to explode, but I wonder...

    Would the dead cells in the battery take part in that; or are just dead and not reactive.

    In other words: if a battery has only a 30% remaining alive; or a laptop has a very worn battery, would an hypothetical explosion by overheating be much less severe? or is still so dangerous as new?.

  • CamperBob2 3 days ago

    Those are NiMHs, aren't they? WTF? That shouldn't be possible.

    Any idea what prompted the explosion?

mdasen 3 days ago

It looks like 1-way pagers sold in the US are powered by AA or AAA batteries: https://pagersdirect.net/collections/1-way-pagers.

That's not to say that they couldn't have put a lithium AA or AAA battery into the pagers or inserted a modified AA/AAA battery that was a combination of lithium (with greater power density) and explosive.

It's also possible that they have fancier 1-way pagers than I'm aware of.

sushid 3 days ago

Why did the Hezbollah even leverage beepers in the first place? As in why not just use telegram or signal or some other app of choice?

  • hattmall 3 days ago

    So that Israel couldn't track their locations via cell networks. Sure you could use Signal or w/e but it's the cell IDs and knowing where people are that was the issue. The pagers do far less, if any, two way communication so it's not likely to give away location data.

  • zhengyi13 3 days ago

    Pagers don't have GPS devices embedded in them.

    Apps (some more or less than others) represent a target for a nation state to pursue for information, graph analysis, bugging, etc.

    • roywiggins 3 days ago

      Even a dumbphone with the GPS physically removed is going to be a lot easier to target than a one-way pager, since they are always chatting with the cell towers.

    • jameshart 3 days ago

      Pagers don’t have GPS devices embedded in them - that you know of.

      If you can’t control your supply chain then that isn’t guaranteed.

      After all, most pagers don’t contain explosive charges either.

    • netsharc 3 days ago

      Even dumb phones can be tracked by antenna triangulation, and I wouldn't be surprised if Israeli hackers are inside Lebanese phone networks...

  • ra 3 days ago

    Because cellphones transmit, pagers don't.

polishdude20 3 days ago

How do you fit an explosive into a pager and still have the pager work? Like, aren't they already optimized to have everything for inside super tight?

  • LeifCarrotson 3 days ago

    No, a pager is optimized to be a case size that's comfortable for carrying and reading. The electronics could be the size of the smallest wristwatch, which is already dominated by its own form factor requirements, not the PCB + battery + display subcomponents that are scarcely the size of a nickel.

    A typical pager is about 60 x 40 x 20mm. Much of this volume requirement is driven by the 16mm diameter 34mm long CR123 battery, a lot of it could be empty.

    That battery is a relatively safe lithium primary chemistry, not a rechargeable Lithium polymer pounch or lithium ion cylinder that would risk fire and explode if the overpressure vents were omitted and the BMS corrupted, but the primary lasts for years.

    I bet you could use a CR1216 battery (1.6mm thin, 30mAh, instead if 34mm long and 1500mAh) instead and have quite a good deal of spare volume in the battery for an explosive. If you filled the entire pager, that would be even more room, but much more easily detected.

    • ethbr1 3 days ago

      > I bet you could use a CR1216 battery (1.6mm thin, 30mAh, instead if 34mm long and 1500mAh) instead and have quite a good deal of spare volume in the battery for an explosive.

      I'd be fascinated if that was the physical vector...

      However, tainting a component pre-integration seems a lot more likely than simply packing explosive in the case.

      Israel inserts the compromised components upstream in the supply chain, they're duly assembled into pagers, which then make their way to Hezbollah, where they're inspected, look normal, and work normally, and are then distributed.

      That would still require a firmware hack to presumably trigger though (incoming message stack to component trigger).

    • lxgr 3 days ago

      > The electronics could be the size of the smallest wristwatch

      Swatch actually used to sell a wristwatch that includes a pager! Battery life was pretty bad though; it came with a keychain accessoire to store a spare CR2032 and a battery swapping tool.

    • formerly_proven 3 days ago

      According to the manufacturer the pagers have a nominal battery life of about three months so it's not likely someone would actually notice if this number is cut in half or less.

    • numpad0 3 days ago

      Those thin coin cells can't output enough currents to replace most use cases. I've once tried to run ESP32 with couple CR2032, the ESP just browns out.

      • LeifCarrotson a day ago

        An ESP32 is a power hog meant to be plugged into a wall. Here are the current requirements for the various modes according to [1]:

            Active mode, 260mA to 790 mA (!)  
            Modem sleep, 20mA  
            Light sleep: 0.8 mA  
            Deep sleep: 10 uA  
            Hibernate: 2.5 uA  
        
        Even with fancy DTIM beacons, Wifi and Bluetooth IoT devices just have a really power-hungry protocol stack and radio system to run.

        Compare that to something like an STM32U5 microcontroller [2]:

            3.1 mA Run mode at 160 MHz
            19.5 μA/MHz Run mode at 3.3 V
            6.6 µA stop 2 mode with full SRAM
            1.7 μA stop 3 mode with 16 Kbyte SRAM
            0.5 uA standby mode with RTC
            0.3 uA standby mode (24 wakeup pins)
            0.1 uA shutdown mode (24 wakeup pins)
        
        And probably more importantly, an actual low-power microcontroller can wake from sleep in something like 4 microseconds, do something for a few cycles, and go back to sleep. Pager protocols are designed for this, putting the pager to sleep for sometimes an hour, and the crystal oscillator restarts the battery-powered device moments before the frame arrives, then goes back to sleep. Conversely, booting up the whole protocol stack on the ESP32 and acquiring a connection can take literally 4 seconds.

        That results in a power consumption ratio on the order of 100,000,000. ESP32s are not efficient.

        [1]: https://lastminuteengineers.com/esp32-sleep-modes-power-cons...

        [2]: https://www.st.com/en/microcontrollers-microprocessors/stm32...

  • phs318u 3 days ago

    Because it takes a surprisingly small amount of high explosive to cause the kind of damage shown in the footage we’ve seen so far. All it would take is for the battery to be replaced with a combo package - part battery, part explosive. No need for additional internal space.

    Disclosure: my first job was in the Australian Defence Science Technology Organisation, Materials Research Lab, Explosives Instrumentation Group.

  • tptacek 3 days ago

    I think it makes more sense to think of these as explosive devices manufactured by/for Israel that are just designed to pass as pagers.

  • Mtinie 3 days ago

    If cost per unit isn’t a consideration, I suspect you can shrink the size of the electronic components used in the pager to make room for a 20 gram explosive charge.

    Pagers—especially commodity models—aren’t profitable enough to warrant cutting edge tech with the latest advances in microelectronics. Lots of room to improve things if you are making a set of them at a loss.

  • zero_iq 3 days ago

    One possibility is to replace part of the battery. The smaller battery can be designed to lie about its charge, or you can replace with a higher energy-density battery and use the space saved for a detonation system (perhaps even incorporating the battery itself into this) and a small quantity of high explosive, which is pretty stable and safe until detonated. Contrary to popular belief, high explosives are actually relatively safe, and usually even burn safely or are hard to ignite at all in some cases. Package it up into something that looks identical to an unmodified battery. Modify device firmware and battery control circuitry to detonate it on receipt of a specific signal and... boom.

  • fencepost 3 days ago

    Thinner (less durable, but who cares?) plastic shell to free up space for explosives, but would likely be obvious if someone opened it - which might be a common thing if these were being used as remote triggering devices.

    If they were using a AA battery, replace the battery with something that provides you space to work (e.g. put in a AAAA or button cell that would provide appropriate power but lower capacity) because you don't really care if the battery life drops from months to weeks.

    • Mtinie 3 days ago

      I can easily envision a scenario that would preemptively “explain” why the pagers are internally different from past models:

      Supplier: “Hey, we’ve got a refreshed model of the pager you wanted to buy in bulk. Interested?”

      Buyer: “I don’t know, how do they work?”

      Supplier: “Same as the other ones, minus a bit less plastic protection. With the weight savings they’ve added a new hardened receiver that’s supposedly more secure and will keep communications private. Also, they are 50% cheaper per unit…”

      Buyer: “Say no more. We’ll take them.”

  • bluescrn 3 days ago

    Pagers, by definition, are likely to be older technology.

    The internals could be replaced with modern smaller and lower-power equivalents, requiring a smaller battery, and saving enough space.

    (Or maybe somebody just donated a batch of innocent-looking devices to 'the cause', or offered a bargain on some 'extra secure' pagers?)

xupybd 3 days ago

Can you make the case out of a solid explosive material?