Comment by porkloin 8 hours ago
> which cuts down on the risk of a trump 2028 run
Ah, so I see we've entered the "normalizing the end of presidental term limits" part of the downward spiral. Maybe I need to accelerate my plans to get the fuck out of here.
I'm not sure I'd consider the 22nd amendment "kinda recent precedent."
I'm not sure how recent 1947 is? Kids would say it's 100 years ago, although the math obviously doesn't quite check out, we're getting there.
Although I'd say precedent goes back to George Washington refusing a 3rd term.
Are there any bookies for that? Seems like an easy way to get rich betting against that happening. If not, then I would instead wager the "market sentiment" is that Trump isn't actually serious about a 2028 bid or that he won't actually be able to overcome 22A.
Looks like there's about 1M in volume on Polymarket, so you could definitely dump a good bit of money there if you feel strongly:
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-20...
We're already past the point where there is no meaningful notion of "normal" that actually impacts what happens in government. Normalizing things doesn't matter that much if people care so little that they elect someone who's done what Trump did his first time.