Comment by umvi
Are there any bookies for that? Seems like an easy way to get rich betting against that happening. If not, then I would instead wager the "market sentiment" is that Trump isn't actually serious about a 2028 bid or that he won't actually be able to overcome 22A.
Looks like there's about 1M in volume on Polymarket, so you could definitely dump a good bit of money there if you feel strongly:
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-20...