Comment by estearum

Comment by estearum 11 hours ago

17 replies

No they won't. The product is so outrageously superior on every dimension to the status quo that municipalities will figure out whatever they need to in order to accommodate them.

You think the folks on City Council enjoy chauffeuring their own children around and will block a solution to it?

ronnier 11 hours ago
  • thinkmassive 10 hours ago

    In Virginia too, proposed in HB1124:

    > The bill prohibits the use of autonomous vehicles as motor carriers of passengers or property without a human operator who (i) meets any state and federal qualifications for the operation of an autonomous vehicle; (ii) is physically present in such autonomous vehicle; and (iii) has the ability to monitor the performance of such vehicle and intervene in the operation of such vehicle, including operating such vehicle without the use of the automated driving system and stopping and turning off such vehicle if necessary.

    https://lis.virginia.gov/bill-details/20261/HB1124

    • tanseydavid 7 hours ago

      If they prohibit autonomous vehicles, eventually their constituencies will be screaming for it.

      It seems that many people, after trying out the service for themselves first hand, in a locale that has it available today, are very eager to have the service available to them in their home locale.

      • nradov 5 hours ago

        Maybe, although stupid laws can become heavily entrenched and surprisingly hard to change. Like in New Jersey I think you still can't pump your own gas, and some idiots actually defend that crazy policy for the sake of saving jobs.

  • estearum 10 hours ago

    I didn't say people won't try. Obviously there will be resistance. I am saying that the resistance will not be successful for any significant amount of time for any significant jurisdiction.

ativzzz 11 hours ago

Uber and Lyft operated partially or outright illegally in many places while negotiating with governments. They also had a far superior product. Just like they fought the existing taxi companies, Waymo will have to fight against Uber and Lyft's lawyers, who are probably better funded and have learned to become better entrenched in governments.

  • estearum 10 hours ago

    Uber and Lyft are goners, their customers don't care about them and will take Waymos the second they're available.

    Uber and Lyft will survive exactly to the extent they successfully adopt self-driving.

    • tanseydavid 7 hours ago

      > Uber and Lyft will survive exactly to the extent they successfully adopt self-driving.

      I think this is correct and I want to point out something that I have not seen mentioned elsewhere in the thread.

      If and when Uber/Lyft move heavily in this direction, the cost/operational benefits of having their "fleet" of vehicles be privately owned-vehicles will almost certainly disappear.

    • ativzzz 6 hours ago

      What's everyone's hate with uber and lyft rides? Over the past 10 years, I've had maybe one ride that was a 1/5. Most drivers either don't talk or are actually very pleasant conversations

      I will take whichever one is cheaper. Just like now I open up both uber and lyft to see which costs less, I'll open up waymo as well

      • nradov 5 hours ago

        I travel a fair amount, and Uber and Lyft service quality has become noticeably worse in the last few years. The apps lie to you about pickup times. Drivers will accept a ride but then never actually head towards your location. A significant fraction of the vehicles are showing some sort of warning light on the dashboard: check engine, overdue maintenance, low tire pressure, etc.

      • estearum 5 hours ago

        Have you taken a Waymo?

        I don't hate Uber/Lyft (though many in NYC are legitimately horrible, just like taxis)

        Waymo is simply an order of magnitude better than the best Uber ride I've ever had

  • qaq 10 hours ago

    Lyft + Uber market cap is under 200B Alphabet 4T+ I think they will manage

WarmWash 10 hours ago

Wait till you see the showdown that's building up in NYC.

Mamdani, the new nyc mayor, has been a long time friend and advocate for NYC taxi workers alliance. He even participated in a hunger strike with them in 2021.

Waymo is right now starting the wheels turning on getting NYC permits, but taxi workers have already made their (obvious) stance clear: No Waymos.

  • estearum 10 hours ago

    Yeah, but they will lose. Certainly in the long run (10 year horizon, almost certainly in the medium term (5 year horizon), and very likely even in the short term under the auspices of "limited experiments" while constituents and stakeholders get hooked.

  • Fricken 6 hours ago

    The NY Governor's office has always been pro-SDC's, the Mayor's office has always been against them.