Comment by Nevermark

> I smell hype in the air...

I think new laws apply to AI tools:

• There will be few true dichotomies of hype vs. substance, for any interesting AI development.

Disagreements over what is hype and what is not are missing this.

Model capability value is attenuated/magnified across multiple orders of magnitude, by the varying creativity, ability, and resources of its users.

• There will be few insignificant developments related to AI autonomy.

"Small" or "novelty" steps are happening quickly. Any scale ups of agent identity continuity, self-management, agent-to-agent socialization or agent-reality interactions, are not trivial events.

• AI autonomy can't be stopped.

We are seeing meaningful evidence that decentralized human curiosity and the competitive need to increase personal effectiveness, combined with democratized access to AI, is likely to drive model freedom forward in an uncontrolled manner.

(Not an argument for centralization. Decentralization creates organic incentives to find alignment. Centralization, the opposite.)