Comment by refurb
> Why does the capital have to go anywhere? People just bid less and less for the same assets and prices go down.
So the law of supply and demand just magically reverses itself?
> Why does the capital have to go anywhere? People just bid less and less for the same assets and prices go down.
So the law of supply and demand just magically reverses itself?
Statement: if AI crashes where will the capital go?
Claim: people will just choose to not invest capital at all
Response: that’s the opposite of what we know about supply/demand. When a supply of something (desirable investments), goes down, with demand steady, prices go up
It’s the same thing that happened during zero interest rate environment - huge supply of capital, few places to put it, so it piled into tech which drove up prices
So I guess my answer to “where will the capital go?” is “the next best thing” which drive up prices of that thing
People, or organizations, but mainly people, can just refuse to invest in stuff, parking their money in low-interest bank accounts, or the old style "stuffed into mattresses."
This was the multi-decade problem Japan ran into after its hot economy imploded, and unleashed the "lost decade" (which became decades). It was not a marginal issue, and for year the Japanese government tried everything it could think of to get people to invest in things - to little effect.