Comment by cmrdporcupine 3 days ago
I guess I just don't know how to square that with my actual experiences then.
I've seen sporadic drops in reasoning skills that made me feel like it was January 2025, not 2026 ... inconsistent.
Funny how those probabilities consistently at 2pm UK time when all the Americans come online...
It's more like the choice between "the" and "a" than "yes" and "no".
I wouldn't doubt that these companies would deliberately degrade performance to manage load, but it's also true that humans are notoriously terrible at identifying random distributions, even with something as simple as a coin flip. It's very possible that what you view as degradation is just "bad RNG".
yep stochastic fantastic
these things are by definition hard to reason about
LLMs sample the next token from a conditional probability distribution, the hope is that dumb sequences are less probable but they will just happen naturally.