kingstnap 21 hours ago

Where do you get your majority from?

I don't think there is any level of broad agreement right now. There are tons of random camps none of which I would consider to be broadly dominating.

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rafram 20 hours ago

The ones being paid a million dollars a year by OpenAI to say stuff like that, maybe.

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johnsmith1840 20 hours ago

The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years away?

Not sure how to interpret that as almost imminent.

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  • nottorp 19 hours ago

    > The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years away?

    20 years away in 2026, still 20 years away in 2027, etc etc.

    Whatever Altman's hyping, that's the translation.

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goatlover 20 hours ago

Do you have poll of ML researchers that shows this?

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Alex2037 21 hours ago

their employment and business opportunities depend on the hype, so they will continue to 'think' that (on xitter) despite the current SOTA of transformers-based models being <100% smarter than >3 year old GPT4, and no revolutionary new architecture in sight.

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  • catigula 20 hours ago

    You're going to be in for a very rude awakening.

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paodealho 20 hours ago

Well, can you point us to their research then? Please.

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