Comment by askafriend
Comment by askafriend 7 hours ago
I think it’s exactly like going from paper spreadsheet to Excel in some very important aspects of engineering (but not all).
I really encourage you to update your priors since capabilities are very different than even 6 months ago.
I like to think I'm very much abreast of the bleeding edge because I feel this anxiety myself. At this point I can't code without LLMs because I just notice things that I could hand off to LLMs and they will do it faster and there's no reason for me to do it myself (although I still could).
But the overall gain in efficiency is still a low single digit speedup. It's not a multi-OOM speedup as if e.g. doing 1000 long divisions by hand over many days versus letting a computer program do them in a split second. The "wall" that is irreducible complexity was never OOMs away from how modern pre-AI software development was done.