Comment by kerabatsos
Comment by kerabatsos 12 hours ago
Why do you believe it will fail? Because some companies will not be profitable?
Comment by kerabatsos 12 hours ago
Why do you believe it will fail? Because some companies will not be profitable?
If the entire world economy starts to depend on those companies, they would pay off with "startup level" ROI. And by "startup level" I mean the amounts bullish people say startups funds can pay (10 to 100), not a bootstrapped unicorn.
It wasn't an 'it' it was a 'some'. Some of these companies that are investing massively in data centers will fail.
Right now essentially none have 'failed' in the sense of 'bankrupt with no recovery' (Chapter 7). They haven't run out of runway yet, and the equity markets are still so eager, even a bad proposition that includes the word 'AI!' is likely to be able to cut some sort of deal for more funds.
But that won't last. Some companies will fail. Probably sufficient failures that the companies that are successful won't be able to meaningfully counteract the bursts of sudden supply of AI related gear.
That's all the comment you are replying to is implying.