Comment by godsinhisheaven

Comment by godsinhisheaven 2 days ago

37 replies

A lot of this is an issue of insurance no longer being "insurance" in the classical sense. Insurance covers all sorts of things, my HSA pays for all sorts of things that I never would have even considered, and while that sounds great, it helps to drive up costs. It's somewhat counter-intuitive, but if you dropped all government funding of healthcare tomorrow, healthcare plans would get cheaper. It'd also be total chaos, so I get why we don't do that. But the situatuon is a lot like student loans, colleges know they can charge more because the government will lend 5-6 figures to just about anybody, so the colleges do so. And once that person is educated, you can't just "take back" the education if they don't pay. Same deal with healthcare, government subsidizes it for most of the population in lots of ways, healthcare providers know this, they increase prices to match. And you can't just take back the surgery to fix that broken arm or undeliver the baby. There's not a single silver bullet that will fix everything, but there are definitely concrete changes that can be made to improve the situation. One of them would be to make people healthier. I know, easier said than done. But by God it would make health insurance cheaper. Same way in that if everyone was a safe driver, we'd all be paying less in car insurance. Another way would be to remove that regulation or rule or something that makes it so like a hospital can't open too close to another hospital. Another would be to just, train more doctors! What I'm trying to say is, just as the problem is multi-faceted, the solution must necessarily be as well.

autoexec 2 days ago

> but if you dropped all government funding of healthcare tomorrow, healthcare plans would get cheaper.

I doubt it. Hospitals charge $15 for a single pill of Tylenol because they know insurance will pay for it, and that includes private insurance.

The best thing we could do is ditch the private healthcare industry to the extent that the rest of the first world has and cover everyone with government plans. Those plans can then negotiate for much better prices and refuse the kinds of insane charges we're seeing. The cost of plans would also drop because prices would be spread out over every taxpayer. Having primarily a single provider for insurance would make everything easier and less expensive for hospitals and doctors offices too.

The billions in profits private healthcare companies rake in all comes at the expense of everyone else one way or another and they have every incentive to make as much money in profit as they can. Without that excess fortune in profits being skimmed off and stuffed into pockets a government funded insurance plan which covered everyone could get the job done taking in closer to what it actually costs to deliver the services we want and no more.

  • potato3732842 2 days ago

    You don't need the insurance industry sticking their dick in most of the business they do. Insurance is for the foreseeable but unforecastable, not for routine things.

    The additional overhead is substantial and adds huge marginal cost for routine things and say nothing of the principal-agent problem

    • tptacek 2 days ago

      You could zero out every dollar American insurers make and not materially alter consumer health care economics; their share of the health care pie is almost literally a rounding error.

      • csa 20 hours ago

        > You could zero out every dollar American insurers make and not materially alter consumer health care economics; their share of the health care pie is almost literally a rounding error.

        What are you implying with this comment?

        I generally enjoy reading your comments, as they provide some interesting and often unique insight.

        But this one…

        Either it’s something I don’t understand, or it has the potential to be incredibly misleading in its implications.

        The impact of American insurers on direct costs, indirect costs, and opportunity costs of healthcare is much more than a rounding error. The incentives amongst various actors, with insurers in the middle, are massively misaligned. I’m sure you know this.

        Ask patio11 about insurance in Japan. It’s incredibly affordable, it’s quite good, and there are both public and private options. It’s not perfect by any means, but I miss the healthcare options in terms of both cost and quality that I had in Japan.

      • potato3732842 2 days ago

        The magic of the system is that it's structured so that people like you can say things like that and not even be lying in any provable way.

        Sure, it's not the actual insuring that's costing that much but the massive breakdown of incentives from increasingly vertically integrated healthcare companies (some of whom are insurers, some of whom own insurers) owning increasingly large shares of everything is clearly causing cost to spiral. The industry is making work for itself at out expense. Whether that work happens in the insurer's office or the billing office of the clinic that's owned by the insurer isn't really material. And of course everyone in the process gets a cut so they fight for their bit of it. Doctors used to drive the same crappy cars and live in the same modest houses as the rest of us. Nurse didn't used to be the "made it in life" job for people who come from poor backgrounds.

        • tptacek 2 days ago

          Dial it back a bit. I just made an extremely banal and citable claim about US health care. I agree with you (trivially verifiable from the search bar at the bottom of this page) about the practitioner compensation racket.

          https://nationalhealthspending.org/

      • franktankbank a day ago

        They add costs in the form of hospital administration which wouldn't be their books.

        • tptacek a day ago

          In that it represents dollars that don't go to their business, yes, you're right.

  • phil21 2 days ago

    > Hospitals charge $15 for a single pill of Tylenol because they know insurance will pay for it

    It’s more they know insurance won’t pay for it, and negotiate discounts based off the “retail” price. Although at this point it’s gotten so ridiculously convoluted and cross-subsidized that I doubt even the insurance company or hospital knows what the actual paid amount for a Tylenol will end up being until months after the fact.

    • teeray 2 days ago

      Meanwhile, I hand my credit card to the vet for a bottle of Gabapentin and I’m out the door.

      • SlightlyLeftPad a day ago

        That will be uhm, <checks register> $15. Have a fantastic holiday!

  • SlightlyLeftPad a day ago

    > I doubt it. Hospitals charge $15 for a single pill of Tylenol because they know insurance will pay for it, and that includes private insurance.

    Did we discover a new kind of monopoly perhaps? It’s not quite full blown corruption as there still (for now) exists a somewhat adversarial relationship between insurance and hospitals. However, at the same time, they seem to be pulling each other into the abyss, and our society is the victim.

    • kmeisthax 20 hours ago

      Pretty much every healthcare business unit - hospitals, pharma, insurance, and so on - are deeply consolidated. It spread like contagion, as anyone who didn't consolidate got their margin eaten. The sum of all those different vectors pulling on the same market is one unified message: "rape the consumer for all they're worth"! Because that's the only source of margin left, and everyone's got hungry shareholders who only make money when the business accelerates profit.

AnthonyMouse 2 days ago

> It's somewhat counter-intuitive, but if you dropped all government funding of healthcare tomorrow, healthcare plans would get cheaper. It'd also be total chaos, so I get why we don't do that.

But there are other things we could do that we don't.

For example, right now we have the expectation that insurers are going to "negotiate" with providers to determine the price, and then you have to use the providers your insurance has negotiated with, but who actually wants this? When you as a retail customer want to buy a pair of shoes or a piece of exercise equipment, do you call up all the manufacturers and try to haggle with them? No, they list their prices on their websites or sell them through retailers that do the same and then you choose based on who has what you want for the best price.

So make non-emergency healthcare work like that. Require them to publish their prices. Then the insurance company doesn't tell you where to go or negotiate with anybody, they only tell you how much they pay, which might be e.g. 90% of the second-lowest market price in your area, equivalent to a 10% deductible. Then you go to a website that lists every provider and their price, pick where to go and pay the difference yourself.

Suddenly they all have the incentive to publish the best price, because that's what most people are going to pick, and then you have an actual market instead of the existing opaque bureaucracy of corruption.

bmelton 2 days ago

> that regulation or rule or something that makes it so like a hospital can't open too close to another hospital

You're referring to certificate of need laws, but it's worth pointing out that they're not universal. More than a dozen states have repealed them (or don't have them) and everywhere I've looked, there's strong evidence that their removal has increased healthcare access, which has put downward pressure on cost of service

> Another would be to just, train more doctors!

Bill Clinton placed a cap on GME funding in the 97 Balanced Budget Act, freezing the number of residency slots that the federal government would provide funding for, so this effectively froze the number of residents there could be, which effectively limits the number of doctors possible

AnnaPali 2 days ago

Christian healthcare sharers do precisely this. By restricting services and the population addressed (your pastor or priest must sign off on your application), everything's extremely affordable. In particular, as we don't drink, do drugs, use contraceptives etc. we don't pay for coverage of them or their side effects. Obesity's also less of an issue.

There's also the trick of telling the hospital you'll pay "in cash" and getting a 10x lower bill from the hospital, then getting that reimbursed/covered by your private or alternative insurance.

  • rfrey 2 days ago

    Christians don't drink or use contraceptives? I think you have to have a pretty extreme "no true Scotsman" attitude to make such a claim. Even the drugs claim is pretty specious.

    • ceejayoz a day ago

      > Christians don't drink or use contraceptives?

      They're talking about a very particular sort of pseudo-insurance plan.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_care_sharing_ministry

      They can and do exclude whole swaths of what normal health insurers have to cover. They don't even have a legal requirement to pay out at all.

      https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-care/health-care-cost-...

      > Beyond restricting maternity coverage, many groups’ policies state that they won’t reimburse for prescriptions, routine doctor’s visits, contraceptives or mental health or substance use services. Coverage for medical conditions that predate someone’s membership is often excluded, as well. And health care sharing ministries aren’t required by law to limit out-of-pocket costs or maintain large cash reserves to cover members’ bills the way insurance companies are.

  • ASinclair 2 days ago

    So your pastor or priest conveniently rejects you if you have a chronic illness.

  • hn_acc1 2 days ago

    So are you still allowed real wine at communion then? A bottle of beer after working on your car all day? I know some christians who preach "100% dry", others are more relaxed. Some are fine with contraceptives (including many Pentecostals, which is how I was raised), quite a few overweight people, etc. And they're just as christian as you are.

    It sounds like you're going for the "unlikely to need it" plans, which go broke when you actually get sick..

    • ceejayoz a day ago

      > So are you still allowed real wine at communion then?

      I've run into folks who claim "wine" was a mistranslation of "grape juice", and some denominations don't use wine.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eucharist

      "The elements of the Eucharist, sacramental bread—either leavened or unleavened—and sacramental wine (among Catholics, Anglicans, Lutherans, Eastern Orthodox and Oriental Orthodox) or non-alcoholic grape juice (among Methodists, Baptists and Plymouth Brethren), are consecrated on an altar or a communion table and consumed thereafter."

  • SamoyedFurFluff 2 days ago

    I would think using contraceptives is not in the same category as drugs or liquor, though.

adleyjulian 2 days ago

The majority of spend is in the last few years of life. A man dying of a stroke during the night at age 50 is much cheaper to the system than the same man living to 90 having fought cancer for 10 years.

I'm not advocating against health nor preventive care, however they don't decrease costs nearly as much as you'd expect.

potato3732842 2 days ago

"If insurance covered brake pads they'd cost more" is an old mechanics quip. The principal agent problem just fucks the cost and incentive structure of anything insurance covers.

This is why it's unwise to send "routine" things through the insurance model.

kmeisthax 19 hours ago

The cost inflation started with pharmaceutical companies buying each other out and increasing the cost of drugs. Then the hospitals consolidated so they could get better negotiating power with pharmaceutical companies... and also, raise their prices to insurance companies. Who then also had to consolidate to preserve margin.

The idea that cost inflation is downstream of subsidy is... well, it's not entirely wrong, but it's also propaganda written by the people doing the inflation. The government can't distribute economically effective subsidies if industry is conspiring to eat the subsidy and hold the consumer hostage to get more. In an unconsolidated market, the underlying actual costs don't change beyond the increased demand. Consolidation transfers the subsidy premium away from the customers, who can't consolidate. You can't give a bullied kid more lunch money.

forgetfreeman 2 days ago

"There's not a single silver bullet that will fix everything" idk, it seems like eliminating the profit motive from healthcare would resolve all kinds of problems.

  • AnthonyMouse 2 days ago

    Suppose you want to remove the profit motive from healthcare.

    If doctors would still get paid above-median wages, you would still have a profit motive. Their lobbyists would want to limit the supply of doctors or simply lobby to have the government pay them high wages, to require that things be done by a doctor instead of a nurse, etc. Likewise the drug companies would lobby for the government to pay them more for their drugs, and when the government is captured then that's what happens. The same problems we have now; you haven't solved anything.

    If doctors would get paid a lower wage but still have to attend 8 years of medical school, there wouldn't be a profit motive, but then there would be a shortage of people willing to become doctors, patients would have to wait a long time to get an appointment as they do in places like France, etc.

    The profit motive isn't the problem, that's the thing that causes anyone to want to (and be able to) provide healthcare. The problem is the corruption. You have to stop limiting the number of medical residency slots and allowing drug companies to patent trivial changes to preexisting things etc.

  • refurb a day ago

    Whose profit motive?

    Insurance? Hospitals? Doctors? Pharmacists?

    Even public system that are fee for service have problems with profit motive - doctor “does more” and they make more.

3D30497420 2 days ago

Unfortunately, most of what you suggest would get in the way of many people making a lot of money.