Comment by accoil

Comment by accoil 2 days ago

3 replies

How does the Nobel Peace Prize figure into this? I seem to be on the other side that didn't hear about the award. Which is not surprising as I don't follow it, but also I haven't worked out query terms to connect it with OBR.

lesuorac 2 days ago

Somebody monitored the metadata on files to figure out who the winner of the nobel prize was prior to the official announcements by the candidate that was modified. Which they used to financially profit in betting markets.

It relates to OBR because it's another scenario where people just by polling the site can figure out information that wasn't supposed to be released yet. And then use that information to profit.

Since a recent event of polling was in the news the idea of polling isn't really evidence of an insider trying to leak data versus somebody just cargo-culting a technique. Plus polling of financial data was already common.

  • earl_gray 18 hours ago

    Thank you for answering that person’s question so clearly. I was also in the dark and this really helped.

jjmarr 2 days ago

Because it was insider traded on Polymarket many hours before it was publicly announced.