Comment by blitz_skull

Comment by blitz_skull 3 days ago

11 replies

Assuming a grad income of $80k is an insane starting assumption. MAYBE you’re making that in software (good luck getting your foot in the door).

Any other industry? Biology? Social sciences? Academia? Manufacturing?

I struggle to think of anything other than finance that has a shot of STARTING at $80k. Hell I didn’t hit $80k in software industry until ~3 years in and I thought I was (I indeed WAS) very lucky.

Suppafly 3 days ago

>Assuming a grad income of $80k is an insane starting assumption.

It doesn't really matter if you consider it to be insane. The studies on this stuff always compare averages to averages, and average college grads do better in the long run no matter how optimistically you cook the books to make the inverse seem likely.

  • apparent 3 days ago

    > average college grads do better in the long run no matter how optimistically you cook the books to make the inverse seem likely

    This is far from true when you consider the selection bias of who goes to college, and the sheepskin effect.

    • Suppafly a day ago

      Doesn't the so called sheepskin effect literally just reflect this fact?

  • csomar 3 days ago

    Here is my made up guess: The average university graduate will do better without degree than the current non-grad averages.

    You are making the assumption that it all boils down to the degree (the difference in income). This can't be possible (maybe a majority of it, but not all of it). There are other factors (like being from a middle-class, higher IQ, etc.) that selects for going to Uni. and this has effect later on income.

apparent 3 days ago

Academia at $80k? After a PhD, sure. There may be some grad programs where you get a stipend north of $60k, but those are probably located in very HCoL places, so you can be assured you won't be saving anything.

alephnerd 3 days ago

Your numbers seem to be a couple years out of date, or maybe you're (no offense) living in an economic backwater like Florida where salaries are severely depressed due to the tourism effect.

The base salaries for Entry level SWE roles are in the $80k-100k range nationally [0].

Additionally, most finance roles start in that ranges, though high finance has starting salaries comparable to Big Tech new grad.

Even Biotech new grad salaries tend to be in the $60k-80k range.

Same with manufacturing engineering roles [1]

[0] - https://www.levels.fyi/t/software-engineer/levels/entry-leve...

[1] - https://www.salary.com/research/salary/alternate/entry-manuf...

  • givemeethekeys 3 days ago

    > like Florida

    If Florida is "backwater", then so is most of the rest of the country outside of a handful of overpriced cities where earning 80k is required to be able to afford a room in an apartment - not the whole apartment, and certainly not buying one.

    • alephnerd 3 days ago

      I mean yea, they absolutely are economically speaking - especially when looking at where new grad college educated jobs are located [0].

      Heck, most states have fallen into a technical recession [1]. Florida is weird simply because of how much tourism and retirement adjacent industries skew it's economy (eg. Elderly care, primary care, etc) - in fact, healthcare services (as in elderly care, hospice care, and homecare) is the only non-skilled industry that is seeing a significant expansion in the US.

      I personally along with HN, other VCs, and PE funds have been actively following the MSO space for a couple years now because of this boom.

      And I say this as someone who kinda likes Florida (Dr Philips reminds me and moreso the missus of bougie gated communities back in ASEAN - it's a nice place for us to Fat FIRE).

      [0] - https://www.axios.com/local/denver/2025/02/28/white-collar-w...

      [1] - https://www.ft.com/content/e9be3e3f-2efe-42f7-b2d2-8ab3efea2...

      • selimthegrim 3 days ago

        Living in Louisiana, salaries here are in the same bucket as FL.