bdangubic 3 days ago

the numbers I could provide you are just what I have been involved with and we are 2.5/3.0x points-wise from 16 months ago. my team decided to actually measure productivity gains so we kept the estimation process the same (i.e. if we AI-automated something we still estimate as if we have to do it manually). we are about to stop this on Jan 1

since you referenced a trusted Economist here’s much-more-we-know-what-we-are-talking-about MIT saying 12% of workforce is replaceable by AI (I think this is too low) - https://iceberg.mit.edu/

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  • sarchertech 3 days ago

    I’m not interested in point estimates. I’m interested in real verifiable numbers. If AI is speeding up software teams by 3x, that will show up somewhere outside of internal metrics.

    So far no verifiable metrics show any hint of a 3x productivity boost.

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