Comment by lesuorac

Comment by lesuorac 4 days ago

36 replies

I mean Gates, Musk, Bezos, etc all had a safety net.

Also need to define what successful means because a lot of trades people are successful solo-prenuers but don't make more than say a doctor.

jryle70 4 days ago

In a thread about survivor bias, and you fall for the same trap. How many people coming from wealthy background end up failing?

Take Bill Gates, his father cofounded a law firm, and his mother was a board members of several firms. That is a very wealthy background, but not outrageously so. How many people of the same level of wealth became successful businesspeople? It's said that his mom being on the same board as IBM's CEO at the time was a more instrumental factor to his eventual success than his family's wealth, and his own effort of course.

  • majormajor 4 days ago

    > It's said that his mom being on the same board as IBM's CEO at the time was a more instrumental factor to his eventual success than his family's wealth, and his own effort of course.

    This sounds a lot like "his family's wealth was a more instrumental factor than his family's wealth" since "being on a board" is pretty rarified air. It's not Gates-himself-level wealthy, but what percentile is that? 90th? 95th? 99th?

  • sho_hn 4 days ago

    > but not outrageously so

    Compared to 99.99% of the 8.3bn people on the planet, yes.

    HN never ceases to amaze me with its conception of what "wealthy and successful" means.

  • WalterBright 3 days ago

    > his mom being on the same board as IBM's CEO

    When IBM came knocking, Bill Gates referred them to Gary Kildall. Kildall (for whatever reason) muffed the deal, and Gates didn't pass on that opportunity again. Gary had the opportunity, and came from a middle class company. He invested in his company with his own resources.

  • WalterBright 3 days ago

    Gates received $5000 from his family for his business.

    I've read accounts of Microsoft's early days. It was self-sustaining very quickly.

    I also know something about compilers and interpreters. BASIC of that era was simply not difficult to create. Yes, Gates & Allen had access to a PDP-10 at Harvard which helped. But it was not required, as Woz proved by writing Apple BASIC in a notebook and hand assembled it.

    I also know that Hal Finney wrote a BASIC in 1978 or so that fit in a 2K EPROM (for Intellivision). As I recall, it didn't take him very long.

    So no, Microsoft is simply not a result of massive infusions of money. An awful lot of people had the ability to create Microsoft, what they lacked was vision, drive, and willingness to risk.

    And no, Gates and Allen were not going to starve if they failed, even without their parents' money.

    • [removed] 3 days ago
      [deleted]
  • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

    Okay can you name one successful modern day tech company whose founders didn’t come from money?

    • signatoremo 3 days ago

      Not the OP, but I can name many: Andy Grove (Intel) , Steve Jobs (Apple), Larry Page, Sergei Brin (Google), Reed Hastings (Netflix), Michael Dell (Dell).

      They all seem to come from solidly middle or upper middle class, so no poverty but not different than many of us on HN.

      • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

        The argument was not that you had to be rich, just that you had a safety net so you could take risks and know you had a fallback without being homeless and hungry.

        But the Google cofounders specifically both had parents who were early computer scientists or mathematicians

        In all fairness, I haven’t been consistent between “coming from enough money that your parents can be your angel investors” and “you can afford to fail and call your parents for help with the rent”.

        • signatoremo 3 days ago

          Your question is naming just one not coming from money. None of the people I listed did.

          Wealthy background surely helps immensely, but other factors such as environment are vital as well. Google founders met at Stanford, in the heart of Silicon Valley, at the height of the dotcom era. That’s more important than their background.

          Being wealthy is not the most important factor to one’s success. 50% of US population is middle class. Even if those I listed were all upper middle class, that would still be perhaps 5% of US population, or millions of people. Yet only a few rise to the top.

    • 1659447091 3 days ago

      While not a tech company founder, Oprah Winfrey created a media empire. She was born to a teenage mother in rural Mississippi (and poverty).

      If someone wants a story about overcoming one's lot in life through grit, hard work and making the most of situations/opportunities her story is one you'll want; maybe not as relatable as the Bezos, Dell, Jobs, Musk etc but a story that poverty->billionaire entrepreneur can happen. There is also a reason she is the only one I can think of that fits description.

    • bluecalm 3 days ago

      NVidia

      • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

        Jensen Hung’s father was an engineer and his mother was a teacher. He wasn’t going to be homeless and on the street if he failed.

        And he didn’t come straight out college either. He worked at AMD and I’m sure he had established some type of financial foundation and I’m sure he could have easily found a job if Nvidia failed with his background.

      • fxtentacle 2 days ago

        Huang's family must have had interesting connections if you consider that the daughter of his cousin is running AMD. And both were born in Taiwan and then went to MIT, which seems unlikely to happen without family money.

EGreg 4 days ago

People, it wasn’t just a safety net.

Bezos’s mom was his first investor, giving him $300K.

Then he also had connections to millionaires through his family

Bill Gates’ mother, Mary Gates, was instrumental in securing Microsoft's first major deal with IBM through her connections. His family was wealthy and provided connections and support

  • tgma 4 days ago

    Bezos's mom giving Bezos 300k was more of a favor to the mom, not the kid. He was already VP at DE Shaw at the time.

  • rmason 4 days ago

    What about Replit? Two guys in a coffee shop in Jordan, you cannot be much further from Silicon Valley. They got turned down four times from YC and decided never to try again. But pg fell in love with the startup and urged him to try again. Then during the interview one of them got into a heated argument with Michael Siebel and thought for sure he had failed.

    Yet he got in without a wealthy family and an American Ivy League degree. There are lots of other examples, I can even think of a one in Michigan.

    • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

      And how many of the thousands of YC companies have disappeared in to obscurity?

      How many of these do you think will see a successful exit?

      https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Uy2aWoeRZopMIaXXxY2E...

      And “raising funding” is not a successful business. Having an exit where you as the founder makes an outsized return is.

      Another definition is being profitable. Any idiot can sell dollars for $0.95 backed by VC’s hoping to find the “greater fool”

  • billy99k 4 days ago

    Sure, but if Bill Gates was a drug addict with no software, there would have been no deal and he certainly wouldn't have been successful.

    Whenever I see the topic of success, people LOVE to talk about 'survivorship bias' as a way to somehow discredit the person that is successful and also give an excuse as to why they might not be successful.

    It's pretty destructive in a community that's supposed to be about startups and building businesses. This is why I originally came here years ago, but it seems like the mindset has shifted to anti-capitalist group think.

    • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

      No one is discrediting his success. It’s just the banal idea of if you have “grit” and work really hard, you are somehow guaranteed success or even have more than a slim chance.

      • billy99k 3 days ago

        "It’s just the banal idea of if you have “grit” and work really hard, you are somehow guaranteed success"

        When has anyone ever said this? I can study for a test and still fail, but not studying ever will guarantee failure.

        "Grit" and hard work may not always equal success, but it will improve your odds to the point where success is very possible.

      • bear141 3 days ago

        What is the other way of going about things? Assuming you will fail and never trying?

        • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

          Find companies that make a lot of money and convince them to give you some of that money in exchange for your labor if you want the best risk/reward ratio.

          I would much rather be in the position of an intern I mentored who at 22 made over $700K in gross income between cash and RSUs (that could easily be converted into cash unlike “equity” in private companies) their first four years out of college than some struggling founded trying to start yet another AI company so grateful they got $200k from YC while still eating beans and rice that they had to split among three founders.

  • WalterBright 3 days ago

    > giving him $300K

    Yes, and cities are filled with $300K and up houses. The idea that Bezos started Amazon with unusual vast wealth is wrong.

    • raw_anon_1111 3 days ago

      Yes. But how many can and will give their children $300K in cash? Did she refinance her house and use the cash to give to her son?

      • WalterBright 3 days ago

        If you can buy a house for $300k, you can invest the money instead. If you choose "house", you're going to have a much harder time accumulating wealth.

        I wish I hadn't bought a house instead of investing it all in MSFT. I know people at the time who borrowed every dollar they could and plowed it into MSFT. They became very, very wealthy. I was too chicken. Bwaaack, cluck cluck!

hammock 4 days ago

Look at success in buckets. 10x , 100x, 1000x etc