Comment by trevithick 2 hours ago
I have not heard or read anything about AI that could be construed as positive for an ordinary person. Step one is "lose your job with no possibility of finding another one, but still have to buy stuff to survive." That will also be the last step for a huge number of people. Is there a bull case for some hypothetical regular person with a desk job? I haven't seen one.
I suspect the early variants will fall into two camps:
1. Traditional garden variety human to human, computer to computer and computer to human crime stuff that happens today.
2. Human to computer (AI) crime, misdeeds and bullying. Stuff like:
- Sabotage and poison your AI agent colleague to make it look bad, inefficient, ineffectual in small, but high volume ways. Delegate all risky, bad+worse choice decision making to AI and let the algo take the reputational damage.
- Go beat up on automated bots, cars, drones, etc ... How should it feel to kick a robot dog?
For a humorous read on automation bots and AI in a dystopian world, take a look at Quality Land [0]. Really enjoyed it. As a teaser, imagine having some drones suffering from a fear of heights, hence being deemed faulty and sentenced for destruction. Do faulty bots or AI have value in this world even if they don't deliver on their original intended use?
[0] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36216607-qualityland
The interesting thing about it is that the signs suggest that 'the rich' are prepping for such an outcome ( you will see occasional article here and there about bunkers being bought ). Naturally, if one was to suggest that maybe we could try working towards some sort of semblance of 'new new deal', they would be called some sort of crazy person, who is a communist and hates democracy ( as opposed to simply trying to save the system from imploding ).
Then why bother? Why not go all the way, try to find a way to a new, better system, rather than gambling that these people who so totally hate you would one day become willing to compromise in order to save the current one (with benefits then most of all, not you)?
Because, in real life, power re-alignment of that magnitude tends to be.. chaotic. I like my life. I also like my kid to survive long enough to fend for itself. Both of these become a big gamble if we do not work within the existing system.
I am saying this as a person who had a front seat to a something similar as a kid. It was relatively peaceful and it still managed to upend lives of millions ( because, at the end of the day, people don't really change ).
Individual countries, or even multinational orgs like the EU, "opting out" doesn't work, is the critical problem. In a digital economy, you can't keep AI workers from crossing borders. You can pretend to make it illegal, but the Philippine "contractors" you hire will just be fake!
Or more likely, your entire enterprise collapses against international rivals. Or your entire country turns into North Sentinelese islanders just surviving at the whim of hypertechnical industrialized neighbors.
I'm all for international cooperation on how to preserve a place for humans, I truly am, but the "let's just not do it" is frustratingly naive and not an actual plan.
Yes. I've always planned to stay dead forever after I die. AI is not changing that.
True, my question assumed AI "progress" and adoption follow the hype trajectory. Reality could be closer to the scenario you laid out. The bubble pops, some AI tools maybe improve things in some areas, societal disintegration gets kicked down the road a few years.
Even it AI is better and more cost efficient at doing everything that humans do, there will still be work for humans to do. AI development will focus on stuff that ai is best and most efficient at. There will be many things that AI may be better at than humans but nevertheless would not be the best use of AI, and humans can still do that work.
This is something I've been waiting to hear as well. We hear about how jobs will be eliminated, and occasionally we hear about how that means there will be time for other things that we want to do, but it kind of seems like AI is already doing all of the things that we want to do. And then, of course, there's the question of how the rest of us are going to provide for ourselves if none of us have jobs. Those at the top already seem quite reticent to share with the rest of us. I can't imagine that's going to get better if we don't provide any value to them that a computer can't do for cheaper.