Comment by smokel

Comment by smokel 13 hours ago

3 replies

> First, let’s establish our benchmark: job postings dropped 8% in 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Indeed reported a 7.3% year-over-year decline for US jobs recently, so this was a good sanity check, and told me that my data most likely was comprehensive.

Doesn't this also suggest that the job market is in such an unusual state, that any further analysis makes little or no sense?

Brendinooo 13 hours ago

Yeah, I was wondering something similar, especially because there was a huge surge in tech job hiring during the pandemic, and part of the story from 2020-2025 is the industry regressing back to the trendline before then. Some people say the rise of ChatGPT (in what, 2023?) is part of that but I'm not convinced.

  • staplers 9 hours ago

    I suspect much of the data is influenced by speculative firing/rehiring as c-suites are exploring what they can actually skimp on and what they cannot.