hwillis 10 hours ago

Pretty unlikely. Solar is built on cheap land with low demand, and if the land isn't sold then the power is free so why wouldn't you sell it? No matter how high the taxes are, free money is free money. Aside from making it totally illegal it is very hard to reduce the incentive to sell power.

On top of that the subsidies for solar installations are mostly frontloaded, since the costs are frontloaded. Annual tax breaks are transferrable, so they get sold at the beginning of the project to offset investment cost, lowering interest payments. Even removing tax breaks would not make existing installations less profitable.

  • ishtanbul 9 hours ago

    I work in the industry. Removing the tax breaks is having a material impact because we look at after tax cash flow. Next year installations are going to reduce meaningfully.

    • FrustratedMonky 9 hours ago

      The articles about Solar cost reaching parity with Fossil. Is that before or after taxes?

      • ishtanbul 7 hours ago

        Its probably referring to the price at which solar can sell power. In the middle of the day, its actually effectively $0 (no marginal cost). In nighttime, its infinite cost. Fossil fuels marginal cost is effectively the cost of fuel per MWh.

      • bluGill 9 hours ago

        Taxes are far too complex to figure that our. In the case of other there are a lot of different players and most do things other than oil and so it isn't possible to figure out what tax/subsidy is from oil.

  • BolexNOLA 10 hours ago

    You are right it makes sense but that hasn’t stopped them from gutting all sorts of sensible programs both energy-related and otherwise regardless of the stage of investment/development. Have we forgotten about Musk and his mob already?

    This administration is openly touting “beautiful clean coal” (doesn’t exist) for powering servers. Renewables are yet another front where people are divided based on politics. It has little to do with efficacy or practicality. I still have family members convinced that offshore wind power is mass-killing whales because of Carlson.

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/rein...

    • joshstrange 9 hours ago

      > I still have family members convinced that offshore wind power is mass-killing whales because of Carlson

      And if they are anything like the people I've talked to, they never once cared about whales (or any sea life) before this. Same with the "wind turbines kills birds" or even "trans women are ruining women's sports". Ahh yes, a whole list of things you've never cared about, made fun of, or derided in the past but now suddenly care about because of some talking head. It's exhausting.

      • BolexNOLA 9 hours ago

        Too true. Until they realized they could use it to bully the trans community the only time they talked about the likes of the WNBA was in service of a punchline for a bad joke.

UltraSane 10 hours ago

Federal funding for solar farms will stop but private funding will continue because solar electricity is the the cheapest source right now.

  • criley2 9 hours ago

    It's more than just funding. There's a lot of regulatory hurdles and desire to use federal lands that will also be killed.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/10/trump-offici...

    >The following month, the president said his administration would not approve solar or wind power projects. “We will not approve wind or farmer destroying Solar,” he posted on Truth Social. “The days of stupidity are over in the USA!!!”

    Realisitically, solar is dead in America and China is the undisputed worlds #1 solar superpower. The US might hook up a few little projects here or there, but functionally the US is in full retreat on solar, cedeing the industry and technology to China.

    • UltraSane 9 hours ago

      The federal government doesn't have to approve solar farms built on private land. Solar is far from dead in the US and there is tons of private land solar farms can and will be built on.

  • ben_w 10 hours ago

    Unless it gets outlawed, which I suspect is something Trump might do or attempt as part of his campaign in favour of fossil fuels and/or to own the libs/China.

    I'm also not clear how cheaply the US could make its own PV in the event of arbitrary trade war (let alone hot war) between the USA and China.

    (The good news there is that even in such a situation, everyone else in the world can continue to electrify with the panels, inverters, and batteries that the USA doesn't buy, but the linked article obviously isn't about that).

cactusplant7374 11 hours ago

I am still receiving advertisements from solar companies that want to put panels on farm land. They pay around $3-$4k an acre

  • tecleandor 11 hours ago

    Like monthly? Yearly?

    • ben_w 10 hours ago

      I'm not the person you're replying to, but if I read the following link correctly, the USA average price to purchase is only $5.5k/acre, and any part of the US cheaper than or including the average price in Nebraska (ranked 17th at $3,884/acre) could well be trading food farmland for solar farm land at that price:

      https://acretrader.com/resources/farmland-values/farmland-pr...

      • Zigurd 10 hours ago

        In Nebraska, you're talking about food for cattle. The profit per acre is low and so the price is low.

      • tecleandor 9 hours ago

        Well thanks. Now I reviewed what I had in mind for the size of an acre, and it's way smaller than I though (I don't know why I was thinking it was way bigger than an hectare). Also, I always forget the size differences of unused land between continental Europe and the US. :D

      • quickthrowman 7 hours ago

        High plains Nebraska land can support cattle grazing or maybe a wheat crop, given they receive less than 10” of rain per year.

        Nobody is converting irrigated Ogallala aquifer farmland to solar fields, they’re taking marginal land used for grazing and using that for solar fields. Productive farmland can have wind turbines within it, due to the smaller footprint of the turbine tower.

        Productive farmland is $10k+ an acre, more if it’s irrigated. The cost of rural land is based on the economic rents/value that can be extracted from the land.

    • dgacmu 10 hours ago

      This is for a 20 or 30 year lease. One time payment. 4k is on the high side.