Comment by kqr
I find a useful exercise is to have a cheat sheet of historic flood heights in some area, tell someone the first record high, ask them how high they would make the levee and how long they think it would last. Peoples' sense for extremal events is bad.
That's a great exercise. Where I live a lot of people died because in the past we were not able to make that guess correctly. A lot was learned, at great expense.