Comment by ozgung

Comment by ozgung 3 days ago

5 replies

By Amara's Law and Gartner Hype cycle every technological breakthrough looks like a bubble. Investors and technologist should already know that. I don't know why they're acting like altcoins in 2021.

Andrex 3 days ago

1 breakthrough per 99 bubbles would make anyone cautious. The rule should be to assume a bubble is happening by default until proven otherwise by time.

  • butlike 3 days ago

    That's actually how you create a death spiral for your company. You have to assume 'growth' and not 'death'. 'life' over 'lost'. 'flourishing' over 'withering'. That you're strong enough to survive.

    • JKCalhoun 3 days ago

      Apple has seemingly done well waiting until they see a clear consumer direction (and woefully underserved tech there).

      • butlike 3 days ago

        That's not playing into a bubble, that's creating a product for a market. You could also argue the Apple Vision is a misplay, or at least premature.

        They've also arrogantly gone against consumer direction time and time again (PowerPC, Lightning Ports, no headphone jack, no replaceable battery, etc.)

        And finally, sometimes their vision simply doesn't shake out (AirPower)

        • JKCalhoun 3 days ago

          Oh, yeah — Apple Vision is a complete joke. I'm an Apple apologist to a degree though so I can rationalize all their missteps. I won't deny though they have had many though.