Comment by jiggawatts

Comment by jiggawatts 3 days ago

6 replies

The economist Alan Kohler on Australia's ABC News has a great quote: "For housing to no longer outstrip incomes, it has to become a bad investment."

The "how" of it doesn't matter. Could be changes to taxation, investment rules, foreign buyers, whatever. The point is that no matter what, for housing to stop getting more expensive faster than people's incomes, it has to be a bad investment.

Right now, in Australia, housing is a fantastically good investment, earning ludicrous incomes for people basically doing nothing but sitting on some property. It has created a new social class of the "landed gentry" that can earn income without usefully contributing to the economy.

The new nobility will not give this up willingly.

xphos 3 days ago

I really enjoyed this quote but you know the old nobility didn't give it up easier so you probably could drop the "new".

I need to look up Alan Kohler

a_bonobo 3 days ago

>The new nobility will not give this up willingly.

It's not just the nobility, it's also the Australian economic system itself. Australia's GDP is built on asset inflation and the housing market - I find numbers between 10% to 25% of Australia's GDP being based on housing.

If the Australian government stops the boomer money train they might crash the GDP, which in turn will negatively affect Australia's borrowing capacity, which will negatively impact (crash?) the economy.

Edit: the obvious solution is to diversify Australia's economy, away from digging holes and building houses. Economists have been shouting this from the roof-tops for years now and I have seen little political will to actually make this happen, the easy-money-train is just too good.

jongjong 3 days ago

In Australia, I'm a software engineer and don't own property so I'm a peasant but my parents are in the noble class. I'm finding it increasingly difficult to find things to talk about with them because almost everything that happens to me is bad and they can't relate.

So every topic we talk about seems to dissolve into some detailed complaint about how the system is screwing over people and it makes my parents uncomfortable. But then I can't talk about my work since it's too technical (and mind-numbing) for them so I literally have nothing else to talk about since I work all the time. I can't discuss politics because they think everything is fine politically. I picked up some outdoor hobbies so thankfully I have that to talk about; at least until my workload increases and salary drops to the point that I don't have time for hobbies anymore and can't afford to go on holidays.

The class divide is so strong, my life's goal shifted from "become a tech millionaire" to "try to save a deposit for an apartment" to now "just survive 30 years". If I can survive 30 years, I will become noble and I will finally understand what it feels like to be happy.

But because I'm a peasant and constantly stressed with a horrible workaholic lifestyle doing unfulfilling work, I think there's a possibility I'll die before my parents. I try to teach my toddler son about the importance of money. I had my son quite late because I couldn't afford to have a child sooner. Also, because I'm poor, my wife is quite a bit older than me (only noble men can afford younger wife these days). I worry my son won't understand the importance of money so I wrote letters for him in case he ends up inheriting at a young age to explain how money works and how horrible my life has been without money and how corrupt the system is and that real friends cannot exist in this system because people are always trying to get your money or securing their own money and that money is the most important thing. I explain to everyone around me how the government has made it illegal to be homeless and to exist without money, even if you perfect your wilderness survival skills, rangers will literally find you in the forest and arrest you if you refuse to vacate. I already started planning with my wife how we're going to get him married into money when he is older.

My parents always said that it's bad to spoil a child; that you have to be firm with a child; "when you say no, it means no" kind of thing. I couldn't disagree more nowadays. I started teaching my son that if he throws a tantrum bad enough, for long enough, I will give him what he wanted. Because he needs to know what being a jerk pays off and he needs to demand what he wants. Also, I prioritize his confidence above everything else.

  • lunar-whitey 3 days ago

    You need people who care about you even more than money. I wish I had understood this when I was still young enough to seriously entertain having children.

    • jongjong 3 days ago

      I think money is very important.

      My experience is; if you get lucky, you might meet someone who will stay with you even without money, but you basically have to live through trauma together, to create that kind of bond. I feel like only extreme traumatic hardship can keep people together when they don't have money.

      Some rich people feel jealous of poor people "This guy is dirt poor and yet his wife stayed with him." but they're missing the fact that these two people probably share so much trauma that it's very difficult to relate to anyone else after that. They stay together because they literally lack alternatives; nobody else can possibly understand their pain. Which is the core of their identity. It's not pleasant at all. Also, it's almost impossible to make new friends when you're poor for the same reason. You can't relate to anyone. People get rich for a small number of reasons (it's a unifying experience) but people get poor for a million different reasons which feels like falling through hundreds of different invisible cracks (it's a divisive experience).

      Being poor, every time I do something unnecessary like small talk or making a joke, I feel unnatural and fake. At a profound level, I don't understand how it's possible to have friends 'just for fun'. Everything I do must have a path towards money. I feel guilty otherwise. I could have spent this time practicing my coding or writing skills or earning money.

      • lunar-whitey 3 days ago

        I also believed I needed money and status to make friends. I hated myself, and behaved in ways others found difficult to appreciate or understand. As a result, I often failed and now have far less of these things than people who seem to believe in their own intrinsic value.

        It has taken me nearly 20 years to understand why I feel this way. It is painful and unnecessary.