Comment by onlyrealcuzzo

Comment by onlyrealcuzzo a day ago

7 replies

> 58% success rate on a task is close to a coin flip.

Why does a single-step task imply a coinflip to you?

There are more than two possible choices for an instruction like: "Lookup the status of order X".

skywhopper a day ago

50% chance of being right is equivalent to a coin-flip.

  • onlyrealcuzzo a day ago

    You don't have a 50% chance of being right rolling an N-sided weighted die.

    • lossolo a day ago

      Regardless of what N is, if there's only one correct order status, you're left with just two choices: right or wrong.

      • onlyrealcuzzo a day ago

        No, if there are 100 order statuses there are 99 wrong choices and 1 right choice.

        Additionally, the distribution of the choices is not guaranteed to be equal.

        If you assume equal distribution, you have a 1% chance of being right and a 99% chance of being wrong.