Comment by dehrmann
Comment by dehrmann 21 hours ago
The most recent example is the Anthropic CEO:
> I think we will be there in three to six months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code
https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-ceo-ai-90-percent-...
This seems either wildly optimistic or comes with a giant asterisk that AI will write it by token predicting, then a human will have to double check and refine it.
I anticipate a control issue, where agents can produce code faster than people can analyze and beside applications with small visible surfaces, nobody will be able to check what is going on
I saw people with trouble manipulating boolean tables of 3 variables in their head trying to generate complete web applications, it will work for linear duties (input -> processing -> storage) but I highly doubt they will be able to understand anything with 2nd order effects