Comment by dsign

Comment by dsign 2 days ago

2 replies

Those glorified token predictors are the missing piece in the puzzle of general intelligence. There is a long way to go still in putting all those pieces together, but I don't think any of the steps left are in the same order of "we need a miracle breakthrough".

That said, I believe that this is going one of two ways: we use AI to make things materially harder for humans, in a scale from "you don't get this job" to "oops, this is Skynet", with many unpleasant stops in the middle. By the amount of money going into AI right now and most of the applications I'm seeing being hyped, I don't think we have have any scruples with this direction.

The other way this can go, and Cerebras is a good example, is that we increase our compute capability and our AI-usefulness to a point where we can fight cancer and stop/revert aging, both being a computational problem at this point. Even if most people don't realize it, or most people have strong moral objections to this outcome and don't even want to talk about it, so it probably won't happen.

In simpler words, I think we want to use AI to commit species suicide :-)

Shorel 2 days ago

I'm sure there are more missing pieces.

We are more than Broca's areas. Our intelligence is much more than linguistic intelligence.

However, and this is also an important point, we have built language models far more capable than any language model a single human brain can have.

Makes me shudder in awe of what's going to happen when we add the missing pieces.

  • idiotsecant 2 days ago

    Yes, I sometimes wonder if what we're witnessing in our lifetimes is the next stage of the 'bootstrapping' of life into a more complex form. If we might be the mitochondria contributing our little piece to the cell that comes after.