Comment by WalterBright

Comment by WalterBright 3 days ago

8 replies

QQQ is up 5x in 10 years. Being an ETF, that means many of its components must be 10x.

I suppose it's dependent on your time horizon. MSFT is up around 10x since Nadella took over. It's more common over 20 years, obviously.

biminb 2 days ago

Are 'many of its components up 10x'??

Isn't it the case that a few large cap stocks have the vast majority of the growth? If you didn't like Tesla, didn't like Nvidia, didn't like big 5 tech, you might have had very mediocre returns.

silisili 3 days ago

The other neat thing about ETFs is that there are so many similar, you can effectively use them for TLH to help offset future gains.

  • WalterBright 3 days ago

    The IRS disallows wash sale deductions if you reinvest in a substantially similar investment within 30 days.

    I'm not an IRS agent and have no idea what they mean by substantially similar. You might want to talk to your tax accountant.

    • silisili 3 days ago

      > substantially similar investment

      They actually use the word 'identical' instead of 'similar', if that matters. It seems to be a grey area with ETFs, and I'm not a financial advisor, so won't make any further claims.

      > You might want to talk to your tax accountant.

      Absolutely agreed. You can also just let a reputable robo do it for you if you don't have the time or energy for it, there are multiple. It is what I ended up doing. It's modest but every bit helps.

      • sgerenser 2 days ago

        Indeed, the wording is “substantially identical”, which is important. 2 different ETFs that track similar, but not identical indices (e.g. S&P500 vs Russell 1000 large cap, for example) are clearly not substantially identical, and make great tax-loss harvesting pairs. There’s tons of case law, opinions from tax experts, and automated tax-loss harvesting tools from a variety of brokers that agree with this viewpoint.

      • tenuousemphasis 3 days ago

        Robo advisors are intricately familiar with tax law? That's new to me.

        • Scoundreller 3 days ago

          US lets you claim $3k of capital losses each against income, so a robo advisor can optimize for this

    • voldacar 3 days ago

      IIRC they have never defined "substantially similar" and they don't actually go after people who sell etf X and immediately buy etf Y with an identical price graph