Comment by zmgsabst
As a pure numbers game, I’d find it more surprising if “broscience” never found a result:
- a lot of terminal patients are prone to experimenting
- their overall number probably eclipses the total number of trial patients in a given year by at least one order of magnitude and I’d believe two or three
- they don’t have institutional barriers to what they can try, eg, they’ll fund non-patentable treatments
- a lot of their approaches are taking things from published papers and trying to recreate similar effects (eg, calorie control [1])
That they’ve stumbled across at least one treatment that solved at least one case for at least one patient seems likely. Isolating that from incorrect null results is where the epistemological struggle is. And there’s a good chance that it won’t help you with your particular case.
But what’s the harm in trying? — you’re probably going to die anyway.
When you try someone else's "broscience", you're not really experimenting with the unknown, so it's unlikely you're going to stumble into a "result". They know it doesn't work. If it did work, they'd have patented it and licensed it to Merck or Pfizer.
Choosing quackery is not experimenting.