Comment by blharr
To be fair 1. He's not saying that this is true. Only that the view is popular among the researchers.
2. This view of "were just this close and were only getting closer" is exactly the kind of dogma that you have to accept when you become a researcher.
But how can then someone from the outside claim anything more accurate or even more claim that Altman is finding diminishing returns when Altman themselves claim otherwise. They offerene no arguments of substance in this article except some dramatic language on how they predicted it even before GPT3.5 came out.