Comment by jiggawatts
Comment by jiggawatts 10 months ago
The collapse of Russia could lead to nuclear war, misplaced bombs, or other calamities. After the collapse of the USSR, the West took great pains to ensure that the bombs outside the newly formed Russia didn't fall into the wrong hands.
There could be a replay of that scenario, but with an openly hostile and fragmented set of former-Russian states that won't allow Western "interference".
A quick victory over Russia is crucial to the integrity of the Russian state or otherwise instability will continue to increase. I am already hearing about gangs harassing funerals and hospitals.
With oligarch forming PMCs, we might even see a period of warlordism.
Russia could of course get out of Ukraine today, but we do not control Russia. Let's hope that defeat for Russia will be soon instead of later.
In any case, state collapse is an unlikely possibility but one that couldn't entirely be discounted.