Comment by qsort
Comment by qsort 2 months ago
"The deterioration prediction model was a time-aware multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) model"
Comment by qsort 2 months ago
"The deterioration prediction model was a time-aware multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) model"
Interesting, and I think it makes sense.
In an ideal world, the nurse to patient ratio would be high enough that patients could be seen on regular rotation frequently. I've never been in a hospital where this was the case. So a system that can correctly prioritize resources for critical cases even if it's pulling resources away from non-critical cases will probably result in a net improved outcome.
I don't know...If every 3rd time I was alerted it was some relatively serious issue, vs how often there is a serious issue when just doing rounds that you stumble upon, I'd think that would be a pretty good alert rate compared to the norm. But then again, I'm not in healthcare.
While alarm fatigue is a real thing, the finding from this study is that they didn't, which is what matters.
GOFAI from 1991! Wasn't AI back then though.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_adaptive_regres...
I'm also shocked at how readable this wikipedia article is relative to most articles about statistical methods.
Wow you're right. I mean it's all maths articles on Wikipedia, not just statistics.
I think there are two causes of Wikipedia maths articles' general awfulness:
1. They're probably written by people that just learnt about them and want to show off their superior knowledge rather than explain the concept.
2. The people writing them think it's supposed to be a precise mathematical definition of the concept, rather than an easy to understand introduction. It's like they're writing a formal model instead of a tutorial.
Often the Mathworld articles are a lot better than Wikipedia, when they exist at least.
Fun bit of trivia (though depressing) from the wiki
The term "MARS" is trademarked and licensed to Salford Systems. In order to avoid trademark infringements, many open-source implementations of MARS are called "Earth".
Thanks for posting this! Much better source than CBC article.
I found this interesting:
> 1 truly alerted patient for every 2 falsely alerted patients was deemed an acceptable number of false alarms