Comment by falcor84

Comment by falcor84 10 months ago

3 replies

But it is load bearing. I mean, I personally can't stop being amazed at how with each year that passes, things that were unimaginable with all the world's technology a decade ago are becoming straightforward to run on a reasonably priced laptop. And at this stage, I wouldn't bet even $100 against any particular computational problem being solved in some FAANG datacenter by the end of the decade.

HarHarVeryFunny 10 months ago

That's an apples and oranges comparison.

Technology advances, but it doesn't invent itself.

CPUs didn't magically get faster by people scaling them up - they got faster by evolving the design to support things like multi-level caches, out-of-order execution and branch prediction.

Perhaps time fixes everything, but scale alone does not. It'll take time for people to design new ANN architectures capable of supporting AGI.

__loam 10 months ago

There's unimaginable and there's physically and mathematically impossible.

  • falcor84 10 months ago

    Agreed - but would you wager a bet on what in TFA (or the related discussion) is physically/mathematically impossible?