Comment by falcor84

Comment by falcor84 3 days ago

3 replies

But it is load bearing. I mean, I personally can't stop being amazed at how with each year that passes, things that were unimaginable with all the world's technology a decade ago are becoming straightforward to run on a reasonably priced laptop. And at this stage, I wouldn't bet even $100 against any particular computational problem being solved in some FAANG datacenter by the end of the decade.

HarHarVeryFunny 3 days ago

That's an apples and oranges comparison.

Technology advances, but it doesn't invent itself.

CPUs didn't magically get faster by people scaling them up - they got faster by evolving the design to support things like multi-level caches, out-of-order execution and branch prediction.

Perhaps time fixes everything, but scale alone does not. It'll take time for people to design new ANN architectures capable of supporting AGI.

__loam 3 days ago

There's unimaginable and there's physically and mathematically impossible.

  • falcor84 3 days ago

    Agreed - but would you wager a bet on what in TFA (or the related discussion) is physically/mathematically impossible?